NFL · resolved market
Steelers vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ddbeb9474b0a95eeae44f270a968b7ab635f8fd759cae2db3df84d60c4cd0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Steelers, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee5f…9a8bbacked Commanders | 59c | 74,140$43,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,393.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Steelers | 40c | 36,020$14,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,457.13 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Steelers | 57c | 15,417$8,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,653.44 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Steelers | 48c | 15,335$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,016.68 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Steelers | 28c | 14,191$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,217.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Commanders | 74c | 13,669$10,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,156.26 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Commanders | 52c | 12,447$6,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,523.73 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Commanders | 49c | 12,209$5,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.66 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Steelers | 44c | 9,678$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,391.07 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Steelers | 42c | 9,545$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,525.56 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Steelers | 37c | 7,919$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Steelers | 46c | 6,906$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6321…aeb6backed Steelers | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Steelers | 43c | 4,888$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.46 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Steelers | 43c | 4,787$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…9dd4backed Commanders | 60c | 4,444$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Commanders | 56c | 4,434$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Steelers | 43c | 4,387$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.59 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Steelers | 42c | 4,092$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.64 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…af79backed Commanders | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Steelers | 38c | 3,277$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.51 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Steelers | 47c | 3,155$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.61 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Steelers | 58c | 3,117$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.45 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Steelers | 47c | 2,912$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Commanders | 47c | 2,741$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Steelers | 43c | 2,507$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.79 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Steelers | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8186…e3d2backed Commanders | 19c | 2,351$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Commanders | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Commanders | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Commanders | 46c | 1,922$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.66 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Steelers | 25c | 1,870$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.94 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Steelers | 31c | 1,800$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.58 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Commanders | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…94f5backed Commanders | 58c | 1,677$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…a697backed Steelers | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…039ebacked Commanders | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…0a67backed Steelers | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…cce8backed Commanders | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Steelers | 22c | 1,492$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.77 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Steelers | 57c | 1,431$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.35 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Steelers | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…b0fcbacked Steelers | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.29 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…32f0backed Steelers | 42c | 1,111$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Steelers | 46c | 1,102$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.89 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Steelers | 37c | 1,091$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Steelers | 43c | 1,076$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.32 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Steelers | 41c | 1,062$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Steelers | 57c | 1,047$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Steelers | 21c | 1,013$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.52 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Steelers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Steelers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Commanders | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Steelers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Steelers | 41c | 999.85$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.91 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Commanders | 64c | 988.69$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.16 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Steelers | 44c | 966.58$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.08 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Steelers | 55c | 915.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.44 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…1622backed Steelers | 73c | 910.07$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.62 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Steelers | 80c | 887.54$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Commanders | 22c | 864.01$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Commanders | 15c | 836.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Steelers | 46c | 777.09$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Commanders | 56c | 754.61$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.83 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Commanders | 42c | 751.38$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.35 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Steelers | 32c | 735.41$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.08 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Commanders | 17c | 703.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Steelers | 43c | 699.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed Steelers | 42c | 664.1$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Commanders | 58c | 664.1$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8455…07cebacked Steelers | 76c | 655.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c71…df54backed Steelers | 43c | 630.93$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…0bd5backed Steelers | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…b2bdbacked Steelers | 42c | 550$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Steelers | 36c | 519.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.18 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Steelers | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Commanders | 50c | 498.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…9a18backed Commanders | 59c | 462.97$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Steelers | 46c | 462.73$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.03 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Commanders | 56c | 455$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…45c7backed Steelers | 43c | 430.23$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb201…b73abacked Commanders | 58c | 430$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…3821backed Commanders | 58c | 425.77$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Commanders | 75c | 401$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Commanders | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Commanders | 39c | 386.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Commanders | 22c | 344.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Steelers | 24c | 320.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.87 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Steelers | 47c | 312.76$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.76 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Steelers | 44c | 305.02$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Commanders | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Steelers | 46c | 290.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Steelers | 41c | 278.06$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.96 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Steelers | 47c | 273.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.35 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…defdbacked Commanders | 74c | 268.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…4a77backed Commanders | 57c | 263.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Steelers | 48c | 260.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Commanders | 36c | 259.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Commanders | 52c | 256.32$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Steelers | 46c | 254.7$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.