Stocks · resolved market
Will Google dip to $300 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x080aaa995b6d5f8dc67b3d1a0aca125f044d6305d49c19bbafe62f30315fd971
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd1b…682bbacked No | 0c | 19,218$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked No | 49c | 2,397$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 54c | 2,037$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.6 | 1,779 | 49.1%873 W · 906 L | +143.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 36c | 2,009$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.02 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 51c | 1,710$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.14 | 1,111 | 43.7%486 W · 625 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 80c | 1,335$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.55 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 78c | 1,227$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.75 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 63c | 1,155$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…5a32backed Yes | 41c | 1,116$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 51c | 868.64$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.47 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Yes | 72c | 761.11$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.44 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes | 53c | 628.7$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed No | 47c | 610.7$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 405.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…cbc5backed No | 32c | 398.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Yes | 68c | 378.75$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 44c | 377.67$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.04 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 284$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 54c | 279.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed No | 70c | 275.78$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…edc8backed Yes | 37c | 259.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed No | 35c | 222.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 65c | 220.61$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 66c | 196.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 54c | 172.12$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 167.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed Yes | 62c | 155$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 144.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed Yes | 28c | 137.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…07cabacked No | 31c | 129.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 68c | 117.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 33c | 108.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…9f81backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…bfb5backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 39c | 98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 37c | 93.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…1eb0backed Yes | 69c | 93.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 69c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked Yes | 68c | 76.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1515…27debacked Yes | 73c | 63.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…6eb3backed Yes | 64c | 59.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 26c | 57.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +9.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 34c | 55.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 25c | 53.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…d0e9backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 75c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…1e7ebacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 28c | 38.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes | 36c | 34.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…fc0dbacked Yes | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +198.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e91…e062backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed Yes | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…99cfbacked Yes | 71c | 15.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google dip to $300 in February?this page
- Will Google dip to $225 in February?No won
- Will Google dip to $250 in February?No won
- Will Google dip to $270 in February?No won
- Will Google dip to $285 in February?No won
- Will Google dip to $310 in February?Yes won
- Will Google dip to $320 in February?Yes won
- Will Google reach $330 in February?Yes won
- Will Google reach $350 in February?No won
- Will Google reach $365 in February?No won
- Will Google reach $385 in February?No won
- Will Google reach $405 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.