Stocks · resolved market
Will Google reach $365 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x346e5e613812fe3c9cedbbd443e0697ea271d952511cd262a7a6e0ae169413b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 55c | 7,368$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.98 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 41c | 4,499$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.88 | 1,111 | 43.7%486 W · 625 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…5a32backed Yes | 53c | 1,513$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 23c | 911.67$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 19c | 720.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 1,779 | 49.1%873 W · 906 L | +143.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…c767backed Yes | 17c | 513.04$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…5159backed Yes | 12c | 258$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 14c | 200.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 11c | 190.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…5396backed No | 46c | 182$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…75bebacked No | 46c | 181$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceaf…2483backed No | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf88…5255backed No | 46c | 178$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090b…14ccbacked No | 46c | 178$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f0…948cbacked Yes | 56c | 177.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…9703backed No | 46c | 177$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6221…4654backed No | 46c | 173$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…f1d3backed No | 46c | 169$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ae…fa92backed No | 46c | 168$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…5a2abacked No | 46c | 165$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6454…27bbbacked No | 46c | 164$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9535…604fbacked Yes | 54c | 156$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…f0f4backed No | 54c | 156$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…8988backed Yes | 54c | 156$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…6890backed No | 54c | 155$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 153.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…7ba0backed Yes | 54c | 153$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…41acbacked No | 54c | 153$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…4d5abacked No | 54c | 153$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f1…dc1abacked Yes | 54c | 152$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 49c | 151$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…8840backed Yes | 54c | 151$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…bac1backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…c32cbacked Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…8b75backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…f1d3backed No | 54c | 149$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…7699backed No | 54c | 148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc168…3eddbacked No | 54c | 148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…7f02backed Yes | 54c | 147$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec1…2ee9backed No | 54c | 146$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…defebacked No | 54c | 145$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…ec2abacked No | 54c | 145$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…3c2ebacked No | 54c | 144$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…52d7backed No | 54c | 143$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…3214backed No | 54c | 143$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…2516backed No | 54c | 142$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad7…e14cbacked Yes | 54c | 142$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…742ebacked Yes | 54c | 142$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aed…c768backed Yes | 46c | 141$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…97b8backed Yes | 46c | 141$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…42afbacked Yes | 54c | 141$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1131backed Yes | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…2fbfbacked Yes | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…5086backed Yes | 46c | 139$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf8…4d0ebacked Yes | 46c | 139$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…4470backed Yes | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24c…2dc4backed Yes | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1af…9b82backed Yes | 54c | 137$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…3738backed Yes | 46c | 136$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…5e9bbacked Yes | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34f…92c6backed Yes | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…3d47backed Yes | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2657…b02abacked Yes | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…9401backed Yes | 46c | 129$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…2781backed Yes | 46c | 126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…daecbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef7d…bbccbacked Yes | 46c | 124$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740f…a78cbacked Yes | 46c | 123$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed No | 77c | 122.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…a3b2backed Yes | 46c | 107$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…3d0cbacked No | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…efd2backed Yes | 54c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 50c | 86.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…637dbacked Yes | 50c | 86.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 51c | 79.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 56c | 78.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 33c | 75.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 31c | 59.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 55.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 53c | 53.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80b3…b2f8backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 29c | 48.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 47c | 43.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…0b97backed No | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…f1d9backed Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google reach $365 in February?this page
- Will Google dip to $225 in February?No won
- Will Google dip to $250 in February?No won
- Will Google dip to $270 in February?No won
- Will Google dip to $285 in February?No won
- Will Google dip to $300 in February?Yes won
- Will Google dip to $310 in February?Yes won
- Will Google dip to $320 in February?Yes won
- Will Google reach $330 in February?Yes won
- Will Google reach $350 in February?No won
- Will Google reach $385 in February?No won
- Will Google reach $405 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.