College Football · resolved market
Will LSU beat Florida?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x479fa5c4a6d5dff0883cbfcce2d8f811d40ad7955654d9d87393b1e5a1a809f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Floridaof LSU, Florida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Florida | 54c | 35,181$18,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,238.18 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked LSU | 10c | 11,683$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed LSU | 0c | 6,652$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed LSU | 61c | 6,301$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Florida | 45c | 4,976$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.69 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed LSU | 53c | 3,456$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.68 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed LSU | 39c | 3,169$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.42 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked LSU | 42c | 3,080$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.64 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…6434backed LSU | 15c | 3,050$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…a986backed LSU | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Florida | 46c | 2,685$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed LSU | 40c | 2,473$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.04 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed LSU | 40c | 1,947$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.63 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed LSU | 23c | 1,675$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.68 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…6b17backed LSU | 60c | 1,466$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed LSU | 22c | 1,281$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda62…a9a6backed LSU | 61c | 1,127$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked LSU | 63c | 1,032$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Florida | 43c | 1,000$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed LSU | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…4747backed LSU | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked LSU | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed LSU | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Florida | 75c | 803.73$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.73 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Florida | 49c | 633.6$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.14 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8af…668ebacked LSU | 61c | 606.56$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Florida | 42c | 595.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.93 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked LSU | 40c | 500.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed LSU | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked LSU | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad1…2b23backed LSU | 62c | 412.9$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Florida | 39c | 399.46$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.67 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…e8aabacked Florida | 45c | 335.28$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed LSU | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked LSU | 56c | 225.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed LSU | 57c | 207.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked LSU | 61c | 187.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Florida | 38c | 179.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879a…e042backed LSU | 57c | 175.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed LSU | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked LSU | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed LSU | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Florida | 40c | 144.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed LSU | 46c | 129.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Florida | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Florida | 41c | 114.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…2922backed LSU | 60c | 110.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…3effbacked Florida | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed LSU | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed LSU | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x872b…a82ebacked LSU | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…da3cbacked LSU | 53c | 97.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Florida | 40c | 82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed LSU | 65c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…405ebacked LSU | 61c | 69.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked LSU | 60c | 58.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Florida | 75c | 56.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Florida | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Florida | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2e…182dbacked LSU | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5173…7f78backed LSU | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8502…588ebacked LSU | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Florida | 40c | 27.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6127…1ba3backed LSU | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked LSU | 57c | 21.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked LSU | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LSU beat Florida?this page
- Will LSU beat Florida by 4 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.