NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb12e10db7d1754e37260063063fd957f2d15687b034f1fafdea7fb70a319a928
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Ducks, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06db…5244backed Canadiens | 57c | 12,653$7,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…173abacked Ducks | 41c | 10,003$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd564…d3a9backed Canadiens | 59c | 10,003$5,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed Ducks | 43c | 6,641$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked Ducks | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Canadiens | 58c | 3,514$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.14 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Canadiens | 75c | 3,077$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Canadiens | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.12 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Ducks | 52c | 2,010$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.6 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ducks | 46c | 2,000$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Canadiens | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 33c | 1,535$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.44 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Ducks | 39c | 1,113$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.49 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Ducks | 42c | 1,000$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.81 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Ducks | 36c | 988.1$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.71 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ducks | 47c | 635.36$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.91 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Ducks | 41c | 585.3$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Ducks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Ducks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Canadiens | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Ducks | 44c | 495.55$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.04 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 42c | 403.47$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Canadiens | 68c | 364.07$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Ducks | 44c | 363.48$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8451…a27dbacked Ducks | 43c | 356.37$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…0917backed Canadiens | 57c | 356.37$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…a870backed Ducks | 43c | 353.66$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…5369backed Canadiens | 57c | 353.66$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Ducks | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 8c | 273.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…1f69backed Canadiens | 57c | 252.3$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens | 58c | 245$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Ducks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Ducks | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…5932backed Canadiens | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 44c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Ducks | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Ducks | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…fdbabacked Ducks | 33c | 199.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ee6ebacked Ducks | 43c | 189.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…a0a0backed Canadiens | 57c | 189.54$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Ducks | 44c | 179$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…57a2backed Canadiens | 57c | 178$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2c…844abacked Ducks | 43c | 178$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…d04ebacked Ducks | 43c | 177.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc051…581cbacked Canadiens | 57c | 177.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…a38abacked Ducks | 43c | 177.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…636abacked Canadiens | 57c | 177.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413c…9a07backed Ducks | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…5176backed Canadiens | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…acdfbacked Ducks | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…8d88backed Canadiens | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…eb0bbacked Canadiens | 17c | 132.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +261.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Ducks | 44c | 131.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Ducks | 41c | 124.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…fc77backed Ducks | 17c | 123.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Ducks | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Ducks | 44c | 114.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 40c | 103.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Canadiens | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…3effbacked Ducks | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Canadiens | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Canadiens | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x872b…a82ebacked Canadiens | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4971…7488backed Canadiens | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Ducks | 41c | 97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1a…eb24backed Ducks | 22c | 96.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3c…5467backed Canadiens | 58c | 91.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…7f74backed Ducks | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…a95ebacked Canadiens | 17c | 89.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +304%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…dfe2backed Ducks | 29c | 84.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a2…9a47backed Ducks | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…41a1backed Canadiens | 58c | 82.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Canadiens | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…b532backed Ducks | 43c | 74.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Ducks | 41c | 72.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…c8bbbacked Canadiens | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Ducks | 43c | 70.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…60eabacked Ducks | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…c028backed Ducks | 43c | 69.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Ducks | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa29…e215backed Ducks | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…caedbacked Ducks | 42c | 61.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…472cbacked Canadiens | 57c | 61.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…ff9abacked Ducks | 36c | 60.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…7405backed Ducks | 43c | 60.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…fbd0backed Canadiens | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…8e02backed Ducks | 42c | 59.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…3b0cbacked Canadiens | 57c | 59.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…92b8backed Ducks | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Ducks | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…c3b6backed Canadiens | 78c | 57.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…6f94backed Canadiens | 57c | 57.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…1b98backed Ducks | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b36cbacked Canadiens | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1aa…8ce4backed Ducks | 42c | 52.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…9367backed Canadiens | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…21aabacked Canadiens | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.