MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1c215b6038f2290110e65366460cf561b6e53679d35107b766ca749d15ef45d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 52c | 193,844$100,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,508.42 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 49c | 110,000$53,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 100,000$48,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,776.08 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 22,509$11,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,033.64 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 54c | 14,537$7,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,737.33 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 14,426$7,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 47c | 10,517$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,943.09 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 47c | 7,585$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564.95 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 51c | 5,870$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.3 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 4,984$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 46c | 4,340$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.5 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 4,270$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.49 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 3,768$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 2,711$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.28 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 2,562$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 2,368$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.81 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 2,250$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 51c | 1,978$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.07 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 1,397$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.63 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Over | 46c | 1,320$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.2 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 54c | 1,066$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.42 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 52c | 954.19$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.11 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 872.04$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Over | 50c | 858.31$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.03 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 51c | 830.98$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.18 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 47c | 816.49$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.75 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 697$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.59 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 50c | 579.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 51c | 577.49$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.97 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 574.37$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.44 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Under | 51c | 504.89$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…9b78backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 28c | 380.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 362.33$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Over | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 46c | 301.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 51c | 296.75$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 51c | 259.92$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 51c | 218.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 50c | 195.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 192.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Under | 54c | 191.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 50c | 159.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…96ddbacked Over | 47c | 153.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 50c | 141.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 122$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ed90backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 51c | 118.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 117.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 110.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 51c | 107.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 51c | 101.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 73c | 101$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Under | 51c | 98.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Under | 51c | 97.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 88.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 54c | 86.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 50c | 80.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 47c | 80.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 74c | 67.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 46c | 67.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 64.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 75c | 56.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed Under | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 50c | 51.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…c217backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Over | 29c | 49.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 75c | 47.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 47.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 45c | 46.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.