CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x913c3064363ccdc7e88ca84a9855092df26dcd426340e2b86bbdc18c0dae59f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed illwill | 27c | 6,802$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.83 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed illwill | 56c | 4,485$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.98 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 43c | 3,943$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.49 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked KOLESIE | 57c | 3,302$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.13 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked illwill | 48c | 3,121$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.47 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…b82bbacked KOLESIE | 50c | 3,053$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.45 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e42…a2bcbacked illwill | 39c | 2,659$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ecf6backed illwill | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE | 49c | 2,115$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.31 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 50c | 2,050$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.87 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed illwill | 56c | 1,944$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.38 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked illwill | 42c | 1,885$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.92 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KOLESIE | 54c | 1,816$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.19 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KOLESIE | 63c | 1,800$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.6 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed KOLESIE | 50c | 1,585$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.96 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KOLESIE | 54c | 1,574$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.58 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed illwill | 32c | 1,550$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.52 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed illwill | 50c | 1,461$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.93 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked illwill | 1c | 1,450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 163 | 11.7%19 W · 144 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked illwill | 48c | 1,406$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.49 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed illwill | 43c | 1,325$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.74 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed KOLESIE | 38c | 1,298$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.32 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 65c | 1,298$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.82 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed illwill | 43c | 1,289$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked KOLESIE | 56c | 1,264$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.04 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked illwill | 54c | 1,260$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.27 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 1,197$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.47 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed illwill | 59c | 1,157$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.32 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed KOLESIE | 44c | 1,030$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.85 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE | 50c | 987.47$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21de…506ebacked illwill | 47c | 963.26$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.17 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 65c | 926.79$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked KOLESIE | 76c | 870$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.13 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed KOLESIE | 57c | 862.21$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.75 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed illwill | 59c | 781.12$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.45 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KOLESIE | 65c | 753$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.21 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed illwill | 65c | 747.71$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.65 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed illwill | 44c | 746.4$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.15 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked illwill | 72c | 738.57$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.47 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed KOLESIE | 67c | 734.4$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.35 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed illwill | 39c | 727.97$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.01 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked illwill | 41c | 712.88$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KOLESIE | 46c | 710.15$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.54 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked illwill | 53c | 705.15$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.73 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked KOLESIE | 57c | 698.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.27 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed KOLESIE | 63c | 629.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.08 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed illwill | 34c | 622.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked illwill | 16c | 622.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed illwill | 50c | 613.93$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.91 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…ce7dbacked illwill | 43c | 609.88$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.82 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed KOLESIE | 55c | 605.64$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.52 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed illwill | 50c | 604.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed KOLESIE | 49c | 599.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed KOLESIE | 52c | 580.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.67 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked illwill | 36c | 577.49$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.9 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…fad8backed illwill | 36c | 571.15$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed KOLESIE | 46c | 554.35$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.19 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked illwill | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed illwill | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked illwill | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed illwill | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed illwill | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked illwill | 54c | 481.23$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed KOLESIE | 48c | 457$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.53 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed KOLESIE | 47c | 428.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.4 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked illwill | 58c | 423.17$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.58 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked illwill | 37c | 418.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…8893backed illwill | 51c | 411.76$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked KOLESIE | 44c | 410.53$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.36 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed illwill | 37c | 407.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.65 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked illwill | 57c | 399.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.99 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed KOLESIE | 51c | 394.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.89 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked illwill | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed illwill | 49c | 391$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked illwill | 59c | 382.14$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.47 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed KOLESIE | 60c | 373$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed KOLESIE | 51c | 363.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.14 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked illwill | 64c | 358.63$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 354.74$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked illwill | 29c | 332.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…7d44backed illwill | 48c | 329.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked illwill | 51c | 325.4$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…c628backed KOLESIE | 63c | 317$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked KOLESIE | 59c | 313.9$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…0b88backed illwill | 70c | 313.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked illwill | 41c | 311.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked illwill | 19c | 310.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed illwill | 62c | 308.03$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.98 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed illwill | 41c | 307.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9843…266fbacked illwill | 67c | 305.88$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed KOLESIE | 49c | 304.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KOLESIE | 69c | 304$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed KOLESIE | 28c | 299.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.97 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked illwill | 44c | 298.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked KOLESIE | 32c | 298.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked KOLESIE | 63c | 297.21$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed illwill | 54c | 290$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed illwill | 43c | 287$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed illwill | 15c | 286.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked KOLESIE | 49c | 279.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 1 Winnerillwill won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5)KOLESIE won
- Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)illwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.