CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab448b2c6d5817e45e92e7c5ed7fc7a34a42305d57fb559ea9e3bd807c827c42

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: illwillof KOLESIE, illwill
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,146 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4572…83ffbacked illwill	64c	3,012$1,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,097.4	323	48.9%158 W · 165 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked KOLESIE	28c	1,855$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.48	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE	24c	1,077$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.98	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed illwill	65c	771.41$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.41	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed illwill	49c	529.25$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.81	402	64.7%260 W · 142 L	+49.2wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed KOLESIE	39c	527$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.99	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked illwill	59c	512.43$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.43	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed KOLESIE	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	371	45.6%169 W · 202 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed KOLESIE	57c	499.98$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.59	165	46.1%76 W · 89 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x888d…290cbacked KOLESIE	50c	458.77$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.51	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE	28c	406.89$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.38	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked KOLESIE	35c	394$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.03	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked KOLESIE	49c	333.06$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.2	116	61.2%71 W · 45 L	+10.4wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE	39c	325$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.37	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE	39c	322.06$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.21	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked illwill	62c	311.78$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.94	316	47.8%151 W · 165 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed KOLESIE	42c	311.18$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.16	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE	56c	299.93$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.77	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked KOLESIE	49c	289.72$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.72	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked illwill	62c	257.47$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.7	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked KOLESIE	57c	257.01$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.8	397	72.5%288 W · 109 L	+38.5wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked illwill	58c	256.27$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.58	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked KOLESIE	44c	249.97$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.55	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE	45c	242.69$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.38	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed KOLESIE	53c	235.85$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	364	46.7%170 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked illwill	49c	230.89$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.97	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed illwill	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	1,278	21.9%280 W · 998 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed KOLESIE	49c	180.93$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked illwill	49c	154.47$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.78	250	42.4%106 W · 144 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked illwill	60c	147.18$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.93	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked KOLESIE	35c	146.84$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.45	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked KOLESIE	41c	146.59$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	410	54.6%224 W · 186 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE	51c	144.43$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.15	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed KOLESIE	29c	139.6$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	272	48.9%133 W · 139 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked illwill	53c	138.4$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.26	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ff…c5b2backed illwill	65c	138$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.3	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed illwill	55c	133$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.44	401	41.6%167 W · 234 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed illwill	49c	131.71$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.17	406	39.4%160 W · 246 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46dc…8d21backed KOLESIE	43c	118.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39cd…ee6dbacked illwill	66c	105.07$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed KOLESIE	56c	104.16$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.31	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed illwill	48c	101.22$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.42	239	56.5%135 W · 104 L	+15.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc65e…31a4backed illwill	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed KOLESIE	37c	98.93$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.95	771	46%355 W · 416 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked illwill	75c	96.98$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.01	503	58.6%295 W · 208 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed KOLESIE	56c	93$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.37	457	54.5%249 W · 208 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x701c…db31backed KOLESIE	33c	91.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed illwill	43c	88.37$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.37	309	39.2%121 W · 188 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed illwill	59c	88$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.5	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed illwill	70c	80.3$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.09	111	55%61 W · 50 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed KOLESIE	39c	75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	809	42.3%342 W · 467 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4018…f37ebacked KOLESIE	41c	72.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ec…72f6backed KOLESIE	40c	70.65$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked illwill	43c	59.48$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.91	306	38.9%119 W · 187 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed KOLESIE	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	170	44.1%75 W · 95 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked KOLESIE	41c	44.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.08	675	47.3%319 W · 356 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed KOLESIE	38c	43.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	622	48.2%300 W · 322 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked KOLESIE	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb5…ea33backed illwill	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	30	73.3%22 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed illwill	58c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed illwill	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	236	54.7%129 W · 107 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed KOLESIE	33c	37.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed KOLESIE	54c	34.17$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.61	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE	43c	33.93$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked KOLESIE	42c	32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	279	40.5%113 W · 166 L	-16.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08fe…355fbacked KOLESIE	49c	30.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	106	59.4%63 W · 43 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked illwill	61c	29.28$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.35	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed illwill	47c	25.08$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	579	35.1%203 W · 376 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked illwill	72c	21.55$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.04	361	74.8%270 W · 91 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed KOLESIE	56c	20.02$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	408	57.1%233 W · 175 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageKOLESIE won
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5)KOLESIE won
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)illwill won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event