CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32d1aa2e9a89cce8552ada336b2242881e593b4ecab7f063d0694f0c69fc1caf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b4d…44e5backed illwill | 0c | 19,077$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked illwill | 34c | 5,835$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.79 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked KOLESIE | 60c | 3,679$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.41 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed KOLESIE | 54c | 1,751$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.95 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 39c | 1,415$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked illwill | 1c | 1,290$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked illwill | 10c | 1,241$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked illwill | 21c | 1,141$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.58 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed illwill | 46c | 1,098$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed KOLESIE | 69c | 1,041$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.41 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed illwill | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked illwill | 47c | 982.46$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.08 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KOLESIE | 69c | 773.19$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed illwill | 41c | 733.53$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.41 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KOLESIE | 62c | 593.8$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.59 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed KOLESIE | 66c | 583.73$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed KOLESIE | 61c | 510$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 75c | 438.65$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked KOLESIE | 47c | 421.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE | 66c | 419.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked illwill | 43c | 419.23$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.81 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed illwill | 39c | 417$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked illwill | 54c | 412.02$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked illwill | 47c | 390.21$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed illwill | 19c | 366.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 38c | 307.84$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed illwill | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed KOLESIE | 51c | 290$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked illwill | 32c | 285$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed KOLESIE | 54c | 285$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed illwill | 5c | 275$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked illwill | 44c | 269.28$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE | 75c | 264.18$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KOLESIE | 65c | 240.46$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked KOLESIE | 63c | 231.51$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE | 63c | 198.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…ea33backed KOLESIE | 75c | 196.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked KOLESIE | 69c | 191.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed illwill | 50c | 189.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked KOLESIE | 57c | 189.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed illwill | 55c | 178.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed illwill | 48c | 176.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked illwill | 46c | 176.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed illwill | 24c | 171.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked KOLESIE | 53c | 164.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed KOLESIE | 57c | 156.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed illwill | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed KOLESIE | 67c | 145.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed illwill | 25c | 145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed illwill | 30c | 141.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed illwill | 39c | 135.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…db31backed illwill | 27c | 126.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE | 60c | 125.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked illwill | 27c | 113.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed illwill | 31c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad2…395abacked illwill | 42c | 101.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed illwill | 10c | 101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked illwill | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed illwill | 58c | 97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked KOLESIE | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked KOLESIE | 61c | 96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked illwill | 31c | 92.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked illwill | 34c | 89.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed KOLESIE | 75c | 89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KOLESIE | 76c | 89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed KOLESIE | 57c | 87.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked KOLESIE | 58c | 84.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…31a4backed illwill | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed KOLESIE | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed illwill | 33c | 78.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed illwill | 34c | 76.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed KOLESIE | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…42b1backed illwill | 45c | 71.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked illwill | 43c | 69.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed illwill | 47c | 53.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed illwill | 59c | 52.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed illwill | 61c | 52.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed illwill | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed illwill | 58c | 48.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked illwill | 39c | 47.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed KOLESIE | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked illwill | 55c | 44.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed KOLESIE | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed KOLESIE | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed illwill | 59c | 33.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked KOLESIE | 41c | 27.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked KOLESIE | 56c | 26.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked KOLESIE | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…bcfabacked illwill | 45c | 22.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed KOLESIE | 61c | 22.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed KOLESIE | 65c | 22.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -13.4wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed KOLESIE | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed KOLESIE | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed illwill | 59c | 18.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed KOLESIE | 59c | 17.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 1 Winnerillwill won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5)KOLESIE won
- Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)illwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.