TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KOLESIEof KOLESIE, illwill
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b4d…44e5backed illwill0c19,077$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.511650%8 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked illwill34c5,835$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.7934559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked KOLESIE60c3,679$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.4132348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed KOLESIE54c1,751$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.9518356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed illwill39c1,415$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.446,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked illwill1c1,290$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96944.9%31 W · 38 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked illwill10c1,241$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.912,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked illwill21c1,141$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.584,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed illwill46c1,098$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed KOLESIE69c1,041$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.412,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed illwill1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked illwill47c982.46$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.086033.3%20 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked KOLESIE69c773.19$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.362,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed illwill41c733.53$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.4137145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked KOLESIE62c593.8$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.593,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed KOLESIE66c583.73$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5462248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed KOLESIE61c510$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.216546.1%76 W · 89 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2355,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE75c438.65$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.667,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked KOLESIE47c421.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4881751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE66c419.98$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.841,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked illwill43c419.23$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.812,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed illwill39c417$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.484,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked illwill54c412.02$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5823038.3%88 W · 142 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked illwill47c390.21$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18319546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed illwill19c366.53$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.355,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill38c307.84$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.155,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed illwill43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1299736.1%35 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed KOLESIE51c290$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.71,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…dfaabacked illwill32c285$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.457459.5%44 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed KOLESIE54c285$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.135153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed illwill5c275$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.071,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked illwill44c269.28$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.556543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE75c264.18$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.964,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed KOLESIE65c240.46$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.732,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked KOLESIE63c231.51$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6637140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE63c198.09$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.133,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabb5…ea33backed KOLESIE75c196.25$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.453073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked KOLESIE69c191.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5619150.3%96 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed illwill50c189.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2533146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked KOLESIE57c189.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2131647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed illwill55c178.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3217044.1%75 W · 95 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed illwill48c176.62$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2841050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked illwill46c176.28$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110938.5%42 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed illwill24c171.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.12,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked KOLESIE53c164.3$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.831,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed KOLESIE57c156.77$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4780942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed illwill49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.52,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed KOLESIE67c145.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.331,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed illwill25c145$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2547641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed illwill30c141.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0840264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed illwill39c135.86$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4836649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x701c…db31backed illwill27c126.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE60c125.72$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.863,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked illwill27c113.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.321,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed illwill31c105$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4430247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad2…395abacked illwill42c101.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.412650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed illwill10c101$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022555.6%125 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked illwill46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4689248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed illwill58c97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5945754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked KOLESIE60c96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.949430.9%29 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked KOLESIE61c96$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4810029%29 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked illwill31c92.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.252,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked illwill34c89.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.584,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed KOLESIE75c89$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2589046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed KOLESIE76c89$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.132,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed KOLESIE57c87.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0223654.7%129 W · 107 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked KOLESIE58c84.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3850358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65e…31a4backed illwill35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed KOLESIE63c79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0464046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed illwill33c78.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.082,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed illwill34c76.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.832,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed KOLESIE66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7649766.8%332 W · 165 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1bb…42b1backed illwill45c71.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked illwill43c69.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed illwill47c53.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9377351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed illwill59c52.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2222557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed illwill61c52.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.988356.6%47 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcb…9f08backed illwill31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…dc10backed illwill58c48.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.897354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ef…b2ddbacked illwill39c47.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54571.1%32 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed KOLESIE61c46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9457935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked illwill55c44.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2239772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed KOLESIE55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed KOLESIE56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.693261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed illwill59c33.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.640857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked KOLESIE41c27.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1136434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked KOLESIE56c26.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.81,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked KOLESIE60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.093,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a5…bcfabacked illwill45c22.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.312352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed KOLESIE61c22.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7134547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed KOLESIE65c22.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.664721.3%10 W · 37 L-13.4wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-37.8%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed KOLESIE56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.848943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f47…f611backed KOLESIE63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.48159.3%48 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6f…8063backed illwill59c18.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.097132.4%23 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed KOLESIE59c17.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2723956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.