MLB · resolved market

Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15cb0f6fa3fd9a5c99f3e9ec767db58d468958caaf7050019327ccbdf410276

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $328,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $320,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,309 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	24c	186,286$44,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,061.81	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked No	78c	114,188$89,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,174.63	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	77c	37,975$29,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,637.99	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x060f…5a9dbacked Yes	25c	30,941$7,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,759.59	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	72c	20,412$14,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,803.46	370	32.7%121 W · 249 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	78c	19,339$15,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,313.82	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No	77c	16,086$12,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,753.36	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+52%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	23c	14,730$3,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,373.27	147	24.5%36 W · 111 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	76c	10,039$7,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,411.3	852	35.8%305 W · 547 L	-23.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	77c	5,507$4,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,284.22	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes	17c	5,160$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.25	165	51.5%85 W · 80 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No	77c	5,000$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Yes	23c	3,478$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes	22c	3,182$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes	3c	2,880$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.75	167	25.1%42 W · 125 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked Yes	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes	23c	2,500$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Yes	16c	2,358$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.86	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked No	76c	2,090$1,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.2	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…058fbacked No	77c	2,000$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	78c	1,453$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.41	439	54.7%240 W · 199 L	+30.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf663…04debacked Yes	23c	1,040$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.09	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	64c	1,000$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.83	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes	26c	978.57$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes	26c	961$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.86	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed No	79c	900.38$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.28	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-15.4wins	-0.25per pick	73cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	30-0.18 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	77c	654.29$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.28	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	79c	632.37$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.56	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…c72dbacked Yes	25c	600$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	77c	600$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	125	52%65 W · 60 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	79c	592$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.54	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12dc…75a8backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	77c	552.37$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.59	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+40%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes	21c	500.7$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.15	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Yes	17c	499.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	100	57%57 W · 43 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a75…dd88backed Yes	18c	488.89$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed No	67c	443.2$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.26	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No	76c	433.9$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.13	174	17.2%30 W · 144 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d0…1cf2backed Yes	18c	415.08$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No	72c	372.38$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.48	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed No	78c	369$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.18	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Yes	23c	347.83$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-8.4wins	-0.33per pick	49cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed Yes	22c	342.39$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x796d…c6dfbacked Yes	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x353e…1d99backed Yes	20c	293$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9522…904fbacked Yes	18c	274.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed Yes	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	78c	221.96$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.65	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf61f…416ebacked Yes	43c	193.07$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e38…e544backed Yes	26c	182.56$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No	78c	181.44$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.71	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	78c	158.96$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.97	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No	77c	153.77$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.25	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Yes	19c	150$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x509d…23c5backed Yes	23c	145.65$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eea…f37cbacked Yes	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	241	50.2%121 W · 120 L	-14.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed No	77c	140.04$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.21	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44b4…c872backed Yes	23c	132.41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+291.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No	75c	130.45$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.75	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87c0…3f23backed Yes	23c	130.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No	77c	129.63$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Yes	20c	125$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	25c	122.66$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.37	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.27per pick	33cpaid	+120.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes	22c	113.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,213	40.5%491 W · 722 L	-32.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e3…d0f9backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0d…0d85backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…9c59backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8d…f2c7backed Yes	23c	104.17$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	86	38.4%33 W · 53 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd90e…03b6backed No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No	75c	99.84$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.92	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No	80c	97.17$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.76	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	21c	93.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.63	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No	77c	87.09$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.65	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xef4a…021fbacked Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes	18c	86.76$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cd…e77cbacked Yes	20c	85$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	79c	85$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…cf01backed No	79c	77$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.52	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No	79c	76.05$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.93	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes	33c	72.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.72	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Yes	21c	71.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1718…8ceebacked No	71c	68.96$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed No	80c	62.88$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.88	241	49%118 W · 123 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	79c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	79c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc208…bf1dbacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6354…9333backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed No	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf0…cad2backed Yes	27c	48.15$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked No	73c	48.15$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked No	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	131	53.4%70 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30f2…507fbacked No	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4b…8176backed No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed No	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?this page
Will Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?No won
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?No won
Will Jac Caglianone win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?No won
Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Yes won
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?No won
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?No won
Will Willson Contreras win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event