TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e31…454dbacked Yes60c1,618$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.172330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.3wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-47.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No42c1,415$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.1748961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No31c664.41$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.1224954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x83eb…83cebacked Yes8c548.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea8…c8bdbacked Yes63c421$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes62c376.37$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.476445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked No39c236.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.798366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No46c97.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.416870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked No39c92.87$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.655459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb3f…5e72backed Yes24c85.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.782010%2 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-75.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes60c70$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.26142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed Yes72c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.25541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.417652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No34c49.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3442737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No44c48.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.027856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked Yes62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.63638.9%14 W · 22 L-9.0wins-0.25per pick64cpaid-35%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xfe03…f14fbacked No57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24524.4%11 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…bd7cbacked No39c38.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.55143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No39c33.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5511256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed Yes60c28.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2710729.9%32 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x420f…9090backed No41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.755160.8%31 W · 20 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+46.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0ea…5843backed Yes61c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa724…cb96backed Yes61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21eb…a9fdbacked Yes80c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66fd…defbbacked Yes80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.823357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed Yes61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Yes71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.211749.6%58 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Yes71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.211747%55 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb431…82ecbacked Yes71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc18e…44e3backed Yes80c19.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.