TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb3f…5e72backed Yes8c873.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.412010%2 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-75.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes67c401.46$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.5123357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No71c398.39$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1235954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No25c117$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7451250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x025c…bd0dbacked Yes23c97.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9229.1%2 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes68c64.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2276445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No33c55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8534151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No28c55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.666239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes73c54.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8611439.5%45 W · 69 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No33c50.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.738155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0dc…3944backed No28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+174.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed No32c45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.711747%55 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed No31c37.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1210729.9%32 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed No32c33.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.796535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Yes74c31.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2554450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No78c16.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5411256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56c4…580cbacked Yes74c14.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.784951%25 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.