Will the announcers say "Penalty" 5+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x651ebb7cabe7b135a765e8ffce0d7a606251d1154fd4613a1eb99ada8afb202d

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,408
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,408 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No	45c	378$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.98	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	54c	331.24$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.37	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3f…5e72backed Yes	13c	196.75$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	45c	110.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	240	37.1%89 W · 151 L	-17.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed Yes	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-7.0wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	176	52.8%93 W · 83 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	59c	53$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.27	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	47c	52.54$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.87	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb57e…0b91backed Yes	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed No	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	107	29.9%32 W · 75 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed Yes	48c	39.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc8…d13dbacked Yes	63c	26.2$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.51	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+60.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked No	49c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.24	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked No	52c	20.48$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.83	72	50%36 W · 36 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked No	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "Penalty" 5+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event