TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof 3DMAX, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$297,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked magic51c119,999$61,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,799.5714050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed 3DMAX50c30,276$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00023839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed 3DMAX49c26,712$13,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,088.884235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed magic50c18,158$9,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,079.172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked 3DMAX31c16,194$5,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,057.8463157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 3DMAX49c10,219$5,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,007.425,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked 3DMAX49c10,064$4,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,931.4236453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked 3DMAX48c9,980$4,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,790.3438358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed 3DMAX49c9,750$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,777.560%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked 3DMAX49c9,555$4,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,681.952245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed magic51c6,500$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18584958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX49c6,495$3,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,182.6559839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 3DMAX49c5,969$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.7224544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX25c4,862$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.966,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed 3DMAX49c4,243$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.1146243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed 3DMAX49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x078f…796cbacked magic67c2,975$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.975536.4%20 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79be…b605backed magic51c2,678$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.56245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed 3DMAX49c2,651$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2998544.7%38 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f8…891cbacked 3DMAX49c2,527$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.323644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed 3DMAX49c2,357$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1552240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 3DMAX31c2,264$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.181,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked magic52c1,949$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.5264852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed 3DMAX44c1,800$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.531345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX32c1,699$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.43,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed magic51c1,576$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.4727657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed 3DMAX49c1,538$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.6866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed 3DMAX50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed 3DMAX49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73526054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed 3DMAX48c1,448$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.7714443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked magic78c1,405$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9723249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed 3DMAX49c1,390$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.9628943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed magic73c1,380$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.65459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked magic51c1,278$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.431,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed 3DMAX51c1,243$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6342437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX30c1,224$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.353,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed magic51c1,183$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.8115740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed 3DMAX49c1,135$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.1318261.5%112 W · 70 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 3DMAX39c1,100$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed magic72c1,047$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.35,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed 3DMAX49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.824262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX28c1,000$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2794,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked 3DMAX49c975$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7527552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed 3DMAX50c905.93$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45021545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed 3DMAX43c890.08$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.0648350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX39c847.88$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.65,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked 3DMAX39c830.31$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.719342.5%82 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked 3DMAX29c800.29$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5236440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed magic67c764.86$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.182,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed magic66c749.99$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2556747.8%32 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed 3DMAX49c740.8$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9944343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed magic51c740.32$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.4864854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x543d…89f8backed 3DMAX49c735.14$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.221643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 3DMAX31c726$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.522,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed magic70c716.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.7414242.3%60 W · 82 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed 3DMAX49c711.83$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.811349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked 3DMAX30c700.74$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.891,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ef…b4f0backed 3DMAX49c690.78$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed 3DMAX49c689.99$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.112638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed 3DMAX49c624.98$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.242,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked 3DMAX49c616.05$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8625042.4%106 W · 144 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked magic70c610.93$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.273438.2%13 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed 3DMAX49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29457641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed 3DMAX50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0c…38edbacked 3DMAX50c596$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29860%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked 3DMAX50c590$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29512846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX29c580.51$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.661,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 3DMAX20c573.01$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.944,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked magic65c570.91$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9146165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked 3DMAX27c562.15$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 3DMAX24c561.2$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.864,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked 3DMAX32c534.18$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.771,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed 3DMAX38c524.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed 3DMAX38c522.69$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0311863.6%75 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed 3DMAX49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c79cbacked magic72c507.41$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.151060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed magic49c503.3$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.81,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked magic61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1953860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed 3DMAX39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19512134.7%42 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked magic49c500$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25326341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed 3DMAX38c499.96$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9939245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed 3DMAX48c499.96$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9828738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed 3DMAX19c499.94$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.512,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed 3DMAX52c499.92$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9667651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed 3DMAX49c496.45$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2612844.5%57 W · 71 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked magic66c476.31$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.82,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed magic76c460.58$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5812450%62 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8d…80c8backed magic66c437$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.873551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed 3DMAX49c435.22$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2634750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed 3DMAX34c416.32$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0626624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed magic50c403.68$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed magic65c402.81$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1330254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed 3DMAX49c402.04$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19717146.2%79 W · 92 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed 3DMAX49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked 3DMAX50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008463.1%53 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed 3DMAX49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19610151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed 3DMAX50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked magic52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19242050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e5…335fbacked magic77c387.65$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.021163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed magic52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6214743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.