TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof 3DMAX, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked magic48c6,407$3,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,322.9763457.1%362 W · 272 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5240…f84ebacked 3DMAX69c6,264$4,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,312.961050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX33c6,052$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.6260540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked magic50c3,962$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96223249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed magic45c3,263$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.524,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 3DMAX50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked 3DMAX48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20021251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked magic47c2,409$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.193,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked magic40c2,146$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.541,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x078f…796cbacked magic52c1,873$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.85536.4%20 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed magic50c1,656$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.76,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked 3DMAX55c1,656$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.3618736.9%69 W · 118 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked magic49c886.78$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.8820935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed magic54c867.26$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.587847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX59c862.34$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.224,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked magic55c840.24$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.631,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked magic49c523.4$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.822,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed magic45c522.97$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.6455736.3%202 W · 355 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed 3DMAX51c515.5$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9118338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked magic55c504.46$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4635341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed magic41c489.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.174854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 3DMAX35c481.85$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.382,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 3DMAX59c419.04$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.795,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed magic23c380$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.771,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a9d…5521backed 3DMAX54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked magic39c363.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.392,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed magic56c358.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.191030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 3DMAX54c324.77$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.572,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed 3DMAX54c294.44$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15937448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed magic42c282.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.291743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX69c263$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.347,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed 3DMAX49c255.92$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12524256.6%137 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f1…5279backed magic23c250$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+117.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed magic60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10055232.4%179 W · 373 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed 3DMAX18c249.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked 3DMAX56c249.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9958343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed 3DMAX54c239.02$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1838835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed magic45c233.22$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.816945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed 3DMAX74c206.09$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15329757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed magic49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0847447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked 3DMAX53c188.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028443.7%124 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed magic66c187.67$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3628651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed magic53c168.88$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8962350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a0…79ddbacked magic60c167.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.24062.5%25 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x516b…2dcfbacked 3DMAX61c162.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009545.3%43 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked 3DMAX57c161.7$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.813860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed magic47c159.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7962938.3%241 W · 388 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed magic50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7249843%214 W · 284 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed 3DMAX36c135.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.221,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed magic61c131.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.747748.1%37 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa91…c764backed magic80c124.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked 3DMAX41c120.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.972,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed 3DMAX55c119$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6542757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0170…394fbacked 3DMAX54c111.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8c…e076backed magic42c104.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.993655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed 3DMAX39c101.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0341436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 3DMAX30c101.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.453,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed magic60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed 3DMAX50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed 3DMAX49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.656938.1%217 W · 352 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b9…9d98backed magic52c98.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.281752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed 3DMAX50c97.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1635848%172 W · 186 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 3DMAX44c83.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.583,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked magic57c79.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.674,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked 3DMAX71c77.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6840148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed magic67c73.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31,37766.4%914 W · 463 L+77.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked 3DMAX76c73$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4815850%79 W · 79 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked 3DMAX64c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.610960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked magic42c68.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9726546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed magic48c60.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked 3DMAX54c59.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212948.8%63 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed 3DMAX33c53.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.835948.5%174 W · 185 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed 3DMAX36c53.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4166436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked magic36c51.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1133839.9%135 W · 203 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked magic67c51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.693,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed magic30c50.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2733354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d0…bf0cbacked magic40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0529…44bbbacked 3DMAX44c47.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8619455.2%107 W · 87 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed magic47c46.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4717236%62 W · 110 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb074…d148backed 3DMAX48c44.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ffd…08fabacked magic43c44.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1925457.5%146 W · 108 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed 3DMAX53c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7918754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed 3DMAX28c42.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed 3DMAX53c36.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3522844.3%101 W · 127 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked 3DMAX72c34.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8135466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed 3DMAX30c34.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1921741.5%90 W · 127 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked magic38c27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7489248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed magic41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.751,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0daa…6be6backed 3DMAX60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-73.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2c2…be71backed 3DMAX40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102425%6 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52c2…65e0backed 3DMAX62c24.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.552857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed magic55c23.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.491,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed magic43c23.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0777346.1%356 W · 417 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed magic55c21.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked magic55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked magic74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1216153.4%86 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked magic73c16.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4480741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.