TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52c2…65e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASQ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.9
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.2
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$42.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+161%+$96.34
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.59
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$15.8
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$7.6
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.39
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$11.79
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$6.85
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$7.3
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$6.78
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56%+$6.46
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$18.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?backed Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.75
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.06
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$4.77
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.56
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.