CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ab836e0dfe99773ccd68218c5ced691d5b3e167d510f3c3e796cc284a94de00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LPH Gamingof MASQ, LPH Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MASQ | 34c | 444.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LPH Gaming | 55c | 378.7$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MASQ | 25c | 265$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MASQ | 32c | 248.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked MASQ | 51c | 247.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 597 | 32.2%192 W · 405 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed LPH Gaming | 68c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 485 | 43.1%209 W · 276 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed MASQ | 33c | 186.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked LPH Gaming | 65c | 185.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c2…65e0backed MASQ | 70c | 177$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…9deabacked LPH Gaming | 71c | 149.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LPH Gaming | 37c | 139.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed LPH Gaming | 62c | 124.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed LPH Gaming | 74c | 115.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed LPH Gaming | 57c | 97.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MASQ | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LPH Gaming | 39c | 86.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MASQ | 42c | 84.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LPH Gaming | 62c | 81.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked LPH Gaming | 64c | 75.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked LPH Gaming | 71c | 70.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LPH Gaming | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked MASQ | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed MASQ | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MASQ | 66c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed LPH Gaming | 66c | 47.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed LPH Gaming | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MASQ | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MASQ | 38c | 36.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed LPH Gaming | 60c | 36.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked LPH Gaming | 60c | 25.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MASQ | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked MASQ | 55c | 19.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 592 | 2.9%17 W · 575 L | -219.6wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed MASQ | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group BMASQ won
- Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming - Map 1 WinnerMASQ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.