Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4569a5efd4311fc8a986451c326584b061ace280b1fcf74f9ac1a36a9afb7e4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 22c | 10,743$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.28 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 78c | 6,923$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.08 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 78c | 4,517$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.34 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 22c | 3,744$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.75 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 1c | 3,485$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 79c | 3,147$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.45 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 74c | 2,118$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.44 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…5728backed Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.94 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 78c | 1,730$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 22c | 1,602$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.4 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 23c | 1,586$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.08 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 22c | 1,439$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 21c | 1,253$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.87 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 23c | 1,015$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.89 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 21c | 883$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 8c | 804.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 74c | 672$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 75c | 614$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.34 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 77c | 572.98$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 22c | 474.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…9ba3backed No | 23c | 384.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 79c | 369.23$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 22c | 308.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 22c | 306.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 303.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes | 78c | 284.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…8390backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…6278backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 78c | 230.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…8922backed Yes | 79c | 215.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 22c | 159.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 21c | 152.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…4647backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…f4ffbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 127.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 79c | 126.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…2a67backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…837cbacked Yes | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…0136backed Yes | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 22c | 88.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 15c | 82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…2680backed Yes | 78c | 70.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 23c | 68.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…47d8backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…8003backed Yes | 78c | 64.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 20c | 63.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 78c | 62.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…d539backed Yes | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed No | 22c | 57.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…ddc2backed No | 23c | 52.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 266 | 52.3%139 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…cf3fbacked Yes | 78c | 48.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6939…663bbacked Yes | 78c | 48.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a79…6fe5backed Yes | 79c | 48.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…a8bdbacked No | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…95cbbacked Yes | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…430fbacked Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…25babacked Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…38e5backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…aedebacked Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 76c | 31.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…d850backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c9…2dacbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e0…61dbbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…ac72backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…5cbabacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…e751backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…9bffbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad68backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 171 | 54.4%93 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9638…eda2backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…5a19backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c2…65e0backed Yes | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bc…17c2backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a8…4d23backed Yes | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d13…72d7backed Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo?this page
- DR Congo to score first vs. Portugal?No won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.