CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57713f6aa15c35ce6185819f4b554fa3f3cac40a7617116f1098bef9afec829f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed NRG | 33c | 22,902$7,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,557.65 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked M80 | 67c | 20,255$13,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,736.85 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed NRG | 61c | 14,651$8,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,883.76 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 62c | 14,613$9,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.28 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed M80 | 60c | 14,544$8,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,884.92 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed NRG | 37c | 13,419$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960.63 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked NRG | 40c | 11,668$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.02 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked M80 | 63c | 10,067$6,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.47 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked M80 | 57c | 6,900$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.68 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked NRG | 32c | 6,256$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.53 | 222 | 30.2%67 W · 155 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked M80 | 38c | 5,744$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.97 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked M80 | 74c | 5,647$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.73 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked M80 | 63c | 5,020$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.29 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 63c | 4,811$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.01 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked M80 | 55c | 4,289$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.44 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed NRG | 36c | 3,886$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.43 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed NRG | 36c | 3,665$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.42 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NRG | 35c | 3,624$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.6 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked M80 | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.43 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked M80 | 61c | 3,403$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.04 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed NRG | 37c | 3,321$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.13 | 233 | 43.8%102 W · 131 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked M80 | 66c | 3,096$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.75 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked M80 | 66c | 3,040$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.92 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed NRG | 36c | 2,792$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.1 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…a3e0backed M80 | 79c | 2,500$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed NRG | 44c | 2,461$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.16 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked M80 | 71c | 2,415$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.37 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked M80 | 38c | 2,289$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.47 | 361 | 45.4%164 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NRG | 35c | 2,273$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.7 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed M80 | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 39c | 2,184$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.05 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked NRG | 33c | 2,102$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.19 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked NRG | 20c | 2,063$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.6 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed M80 | 64c | 2,054$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.62 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…2cd1backed M80 | 59c | 2,015$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.1 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…2de5backed M80 | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…e804backed NRG | 26c | 2,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed M80 | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked M80 | 59c | 1,904$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.28 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 39c | 1,895$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.69 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe42…30fbbacked NRG | 35c | 1,840$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked M80 | 38c | 1,650$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed M80 | 63c | 1,597$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.64 | 294 | 43.9%129 W · 165 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked M80 | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.94 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed M80 | 61c | 1,436$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.1 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed NRG | 37c | 1,373$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.63 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed NRG | 43c | 1,372$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.9 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed M80 | 37c | 1,365$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.84 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…8911backed NRG | 39c | 1,335$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.47 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed M80 | 38c | 1,322$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.64 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…891cbacked M80 | 38c | 1,296$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.52 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG | 39c | 1,287$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.23 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed M80 | 65c | 1,275$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.18 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed M80 | 61c | 1,250$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed NRG | 50c | 1,248$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed NRG | 64c | 1,247$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked M80 | 51c | 1,092$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.9 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked NRG | 59c | 1,089$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed M80 | 64c | 1,075$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.92 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NRG | 35c | 1,000$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.47 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked M80 | 62c | 999.99$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.96 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed NRG | 72c | 992.89$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.59 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed NRG | 38c | 957.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.73 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed M80 | 72c | 904$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.48 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked M80 | 65c | 859.13$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.7 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked M80 | 66c | 849.72$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.72 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NRG | 43c | 845.2$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.64 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed NRG | 27c | 829$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.83 | 332 | 32.2%107 W · 225 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed NRG | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed M80 | 67c | 798.86$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.89 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6e95backed M80 | 66c | 773.46$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.86 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed M80 | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed M80 | 68c | 735.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.62 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed NRG | 35c | 718.62$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 368 | 45.1%166 W · 202 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed NRG | 48c | 709.38$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d6…b725backed M80 | 61c | 705.92$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed NRG | 72c | 675.86$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.62 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked NRG | 33c | 674.21$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed M80 | 52c | 670$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked M80 | 74c | 669.87$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.48 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed M80 | 61c | 655.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.99 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked M80 | 57c | 652.31$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.38 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed NRG | 17c | 628.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked M80 | 67c | 620$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed M80 | 52c | 614.46$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.91 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NRG | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed NRG | 45c | 600$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed NRG | 22c | 595.56$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed M80 | 65c | 592.74$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed NRG | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked M80 | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed NRG | 34c | 573.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed M80 | 43c | 562$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.66 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed M80 | 60c | 560$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked M80 | 73c | 544.79$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed M80 | 57c | 530.09$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.09 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…9bf9backed M80 | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…9de3backed M80 | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked M80 | 64c | 523.8$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed NRG | 44c | 515.91$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1M80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.