CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64f625cd0338a688c130783456afac72dc4cd828ecc1cf6e675cde9d5cd247b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG | 69c | 1,076$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.77 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked M80 | 31c | 939.97$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.58 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked NRG | 68c | 887.97$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.82 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed M80 | 49c | 722.45$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.45 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NRG | 51c | 667.49$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.5 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked M80 | 32c | 654.69$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.19 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed NRG | 41c | 555.26$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.8 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NRG | 53c | 519.49$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.33 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked M80 | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NRG | 54c | 500$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.15 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked M80 | 61c | 485.72$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.72 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NRG | 69c | 438.53$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.59 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed NRG | 66c | 305.46$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed M80 | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed M80 | 46c | 238.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed M80 | 34c | 221.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed M80 | 30c | 212.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked M80 | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed M80 | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked NRG | 60c | 129.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed M80 | 50c | 122.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed NRG | 68c | 115.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed M80 | 31c | 106.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…58debacked M80 | 48c | 104.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 137 | 65%89 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…c6bebacked NRG | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked M80 | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked M80 | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed NRG | 29c | 96.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked M80 | 32c | 93.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked M80 | 29c | 80.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed NRG | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked NRG | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked M80 | 31c | 70.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed M80 | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…a9bbbacked M80 | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed M80 | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 56c | 49.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed M80 | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed M80 | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed NRG | 69c | 36.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked NRG | 62c | 35.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…44e1backed NRG | 70c | 35.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed NRG | 70c | 35.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked NRG | 35c | 34.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked NRG | 69c | 33.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed M80 | 34c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed NRG | 57c | 32.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked M80 | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed M80 | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed M80 | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NRG | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NRG | 50c | 26.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NRG | 59c | 23.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed NRG | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ca…61e4backed NRG | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1M80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.