CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a9bb177a3061cc48cb1e41dc303d544e899e465b6f785d820100d3d42ff061b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked M80 | 80c | 16,915$13,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.29 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed M80 | 60c | 15,485$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,235.69 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed M80 | 53c | 13,361$7,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,291.14 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed NRG | 47c | 12,716$5,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,976.52 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked NRG | 41c | 11,720$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.25 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NRG | 40c | 10,198$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.2 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NRG | 38c | 7,980$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.68 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed NRG | 33c | 6,286$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked NRG | 20c | 5,555$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed M80 | 62c | 4,425$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked M80 | 65c | 2,942$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.91 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked M80 | 60c | 2,668$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.02 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked NRG | 34c | 2,500$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked M80 | 75c | 2,440$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.06 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked NRG | 43c | 2,383$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked M80 | 70c | 2,218$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.58 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked NRG | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed M80 | 63c | 1,912$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.83 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked NRG | 41c | 1,814$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.87 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked M80 | 73c | 1,810$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.83 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…e804backed M80 | 62c | 1,786$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.07 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed M80 | 68c | 1,720$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.59 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed NRG | 18c | 1,662$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.08 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked NRG | 42c | 1,639$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked M80 | 57c | 1,600$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.41 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked NRG | 46c | 1,585$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.56 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG | 48c | 1,559$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.79 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NRG | 30c | 1,544$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.7 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed M80 | 59c | 1,347$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.36 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed M80 | 58c | 1,261$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.42 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…9bf9backed NRG | 34c | 1,190$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed M80 | 66c | 1,157$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.05 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed NRG | 44c | 1,067$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.48 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed M80 | 54c | 1,008$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.17 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed M80 | 55c | 1,007$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.21 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…8911backed M80 | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed NRG | 12c | 999.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed M80 | 56c | 989.09$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.2 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed NRG | 36c | 942.98$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.47 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked NRG | 34c | 899.97$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed M80 | 65c | 815.35$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed NRG | 47c | 804.1$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.13 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed NRG | 9c | 767.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed NRG | 26c | 744.42$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NRG | 33c | 743.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed NRG | 18c | 734$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NRG | 31c | 700.83$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed NRG | 19c | 624.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked M80 | 56c | 608.93$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.93 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked M80 | 58c | 603.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.49 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NRG | 43c | 603$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.35 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked M80 | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed NRG | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed NRG | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked NRG | 44c | 549.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NRG | 36c | 520.25$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed NRG | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NRG | 25c | 499.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked M80 | 69c | 451.53$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed M80 | 75c | 450$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked M80 | 70c | 406.28$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed NRG | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed NRG | 45c | 383.28$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.96 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed M80 | 73c | 364.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed M80 | 62c | 352.17$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed NRG | 23c | 350$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…756bbacked NRG | 28c | 346.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed NRG | 41c | 344.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed NRG | 16c | 343$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed NRG | 43c | 328$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…e718backed M80 | 59c | 322.44$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…891cbacked M80 | 70c | 310$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked M80 | 63c | 304.06$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.84 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed NRG | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked M80 | 52c | 299.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked M80 | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked M80 | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd435…fababacked NRG | 47c | 293$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…08dbbacked M80 | 53c | 280.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.62 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG | 30c | 274.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed M80 | 54c | 273$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed NRG | 32c | 251.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked M80 | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked NRG | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked NRG | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NRG | 48c | 240.74$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…0bf2backed NRG | 49c | 236.69$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked M80 | 68c | 219.76$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed M80 | 68c | 217$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed NRG | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked M80 | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed NRG | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…83cdbacked NRG | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked NRG | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed M80 | 71c | 199.72$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…b9c9backed M80 | 78c | 192.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…5ab3backed NRG | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked NRG | 42c | 191.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked M80 | 60c | 188.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1M80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.