CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce7c3d1674b6980858341d09c8a9872cd61bda309a8351964cdd764d2b35877a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof 3DMAX, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX | 10c | 1,880$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked 3DMAX | 23c | 1,759$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.28 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 3DMAX | 12c | 1,369$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed 3DMAX | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked 3DMAX | 34c | 861.86$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked magic | 77c | 837.45$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.53 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed 3DMAX | 8c | 600$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX | 23c | 420.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed 3DMAX | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed 3DMAX | 17c | 399.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa91…c764backed magic | 73c | 206.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed magic | 73c | 204.59$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed magic | 73c | 197.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed 3DMAX | 14c | 173$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX | 10c | 111.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed 3DMAX | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed magic | 73c | 43.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403e…d317backed magic | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.