World Politics · resolved market
Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5795a37d9152dd3539f12621c2fb98f50ba327b66bac2022753d90deacda1165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,839 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 13c | 2,353$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 35c | 1,021$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.94 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 65c | 660.09$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.11 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 64c | 579.98$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.11 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe82d…d96bbacked Yes | 61c | 573.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…e8fdbacked No | 36c | 562.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…728cbacked Yes | 64c | 423.38$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 33c | 313.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…7ef0backed No | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…f4c0backed No | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba2…c674backed No | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…32e0backed No | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…9d68backed No | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ad…7531backed No | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…0dfcbacked No | 34c | 293$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…3632backed No | 34c | 292$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863d…4722backed No | 34c | 292$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…e46bbacked No | 34c | 269$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…df37backed Yes | 77c | 260.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed No | 14c | 252.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 17c | 249.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…d3a5backed Yes | 76c | 236.29$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Yes | 78c | 220.56$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked No | 27c | 218.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 35c | 205.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…3636backed Yes | 73c | 177.01$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8848…0becbacked Yes | 80c | 170.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2f…16efbacked Yes | 66c | 164$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…437bbacked Yes | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…72dabacked Yes | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…ea86backed Yes | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 28c | 151.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…9f67backed Yes | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…ea7abacked Yes | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…e589backed Yes | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…9d12backed Yes | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717b…0a2ebacked Yes | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…e760backed No | 36c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…8f18backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…c8bdbacked No | 13c | 149.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…ede6backed Yes | 66c | 144$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5032backed Yes | 66c | 144$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…cdc8backed Yes | 66c | 143$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…656fbacked Yes | 66c | 143$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…67d5backed Yes | 66c | 143$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…8349backed Yes | 67c | 142.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ad…c7d4backed Yes | 66c | 142$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…ff49backed Yes | 66c | 141$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…3f32backed Yes | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…9fc6backed No | 34c | 139$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069e…bcfebacked Yes | 66c | 138$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf1…43a3backed Yes | 66c | 138$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa014…3bb8backed Yes | 66c | 137$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6093…eeabbacked No | 35c | 136$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…433bbacked No | 34c | 133$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…9c65backed No | 35c | 132$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…807cbacked No | 34c | 131$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed No | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…5243backed No | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 20c | 126.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…d3aebacked No | 35c | 121$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 33c | 118.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…aaf7backed No | 34c | 118$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 115.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2520…ec19backed No | 35c | 112$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 14c | 108.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 13c | 101.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 18c | 97.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 27c | 61.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…0621backed Yes | 65c | 59.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…2aeebacked Yes | 66c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae9…4e2bbacked Yes | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4086backed Yes | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…114abacked Yes | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…aa8bbacked Yes | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b8…e371backed Yes | 67c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbf…ea5fbacked Yes | 66c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…6822backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…e50abacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…3e25backed Yes | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…e31cbacked Yes | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…66d5backed Yes | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e3…cad2backed Yes | 64c | 46.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…0953backed Yes | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 36c | 42.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b86…30f8backed Yes | 66c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 36c | 39.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcab6…ee9fbacked Yes | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…4085backed Yes | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…8739backed Yes | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…fb49backed Yes | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 66c | 34.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…158dbacked Yes | 66c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…8322backed Yes | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…476bbacked Yes | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…9f1fbacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?this page
- Will Starmer say "Andrew" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No won
- Will Starmer say "Churchill" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No won
- Will Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No won
- Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No won
- Will Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes won
- Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No won
- Will Starmer say "Middle East" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes won
- Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes won
- Will Starmer say "Reform" 2+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes won
- Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No won
- Will Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.