TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c5,836$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c5,231$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over66c4,188$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.392,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under49c3,357$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.1216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c2,730$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Under50c1,970$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.421931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over48c1,926$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.2618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over46c1,200$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65384150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under54c1,191$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.291,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c1,059$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.581,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c995.35$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.5869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over48c957.5$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.917850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Under51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.34850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c899.97$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c897$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Under52c697.02$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.45427.1%3 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-86.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3185269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Over47c581.97$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.2716053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under53c580$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c546.75$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c546.13$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.791,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Over47c522.83$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.12568%17 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over57c488.38$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.551,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c442.51$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over46c425$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over46c424$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9617644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over46c422.69$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2531046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under54c390.53$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c367.9$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.561,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c364.52$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.551,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under24c327$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8721443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under53c309.32$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.941,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under46c305.13$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3629849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under50c290.36$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1817250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under54c257.89$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2656447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under6c247.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.383,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under54c230.31$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c212.26$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.311,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a89…76ecbacked Over52c205.45$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.611464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over49c192.73$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2991846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over51c190.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0135052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over51c190.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Under53c186.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.687047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under26c178.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.071,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under54c167.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.761151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c166.14$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3168645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c159.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.921,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Over48c157.3$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c151.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.595,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c148.65$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.523,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Over46c142.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.165450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa13f…0730backed Over70c140.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.751478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over47c136.87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4316642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under52c124.77$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.881,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over47c121.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.524044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c107.06$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.962,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under22c98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5633030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.533949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over71c91.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7995049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c91.42$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8855347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over48c87.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3477549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under54c78.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0853348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under51c76.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8214444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over48c72.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8421347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over68c71.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8713253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa167…ebf9backed Over47c70.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.411145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de8…0a3bbacked Over53c62.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.172951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under22c61.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Under48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0615449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under53c59.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4619550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd23e…746bbacked Over48c57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.682650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed Under53c56.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.173351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Over48c56.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.62050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over50c56.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over74c55.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5211033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under22c53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6645544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under53c52.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9214852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under53c52.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.661,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…b82abacked Over52c48.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.315648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f05…3dfcbacked Under51c48.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.755754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c11…1f93backed Over47c46.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa363…4812backed Over47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.842263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c41.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.91,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf040…d11fbacked Over47c39.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.947647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over51c37.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0413052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under55c36.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.341,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under53c36.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4422756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…acd8backed Under53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aad…5ab3backed Under54c35.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.272236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4621952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under45c34.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1934641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c33.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.053,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under53c33.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.857051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed Over50c31.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.996154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under49c31.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4314845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under54c31.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Under49c30.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.997450%37 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.