TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$489,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$490,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c222,910$112,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,833.6787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under50c111,567$55,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,560.5724650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over51c87,586$44,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,973.0211137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c73,487$36,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,391.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8293…ddf4backed Over50c44,963$22,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,360.241942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c33,169$16,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,314.791,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Under50c21,861$10,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,905.9748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under49c21,603$10,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,585.5137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c20,192$9,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,894.084,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c19,935$10,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,768.251,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Under49c14,438$7,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,074.55655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c10,683$5,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,305.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under51c9,657$4,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,925.315341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c9,428$4,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7141,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c9,234$4,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,617.231,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c8,974$4,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,397.0766250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c8,176$4,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,025.082,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over51c6,613$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.885750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c4,639$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.311,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c4,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9804,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c3,988$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.0790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8410…d59cbacked Under49c3,980$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c3,954$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.511,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c3,638$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7067…e41ebacked Under49c3,286$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under50c3,139$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.4614940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c2,900$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.281,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2256939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c2,486$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c2,253$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.335,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c2,193$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.5970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under49c2,084$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.2630446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Under50c1,940$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.1610847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over50c1,650$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c1,562$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.485,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Over53c1,467$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.486144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over49c1,200$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under49c987.82$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.7159250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48523251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Over50c964.79$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9510457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over51c936.44$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.8627241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under47c829.82$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.011,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c790.32$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2668645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over52c776.96$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9416550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under51c729.04$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.3729344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Over50c674.05$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.466550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over51c666.1$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3939552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c618.09$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.6581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under49c601.8$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.8817349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29427746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c593.27$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.71,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under49c590.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over51c589.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.6849345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c582.36$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.3689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over52c522.17$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.434953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c502.54$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.441,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c462.43$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.571,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under50c447.69$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c444$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22226745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19613339.1%52 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Over51c381.4$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.298155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c379.54$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under49c360.96$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.991746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c349.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.881,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1142…e972backed Under49c324.53$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.021435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0777…1f04backed Under49c324.53$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.021435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under49c318.12$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.281,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over53c299.18$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6162744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under49c285$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6547436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c275.6$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.212,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Over49c254.14$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3416053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under17c232.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3921443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over75c217.98$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8895049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over52c205.45$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6133251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over51c199.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2739448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under49c196.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.962,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9716450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0610745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under19c170$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.621,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over53c164.63$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c160.9$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.571,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under49c156.07$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4836045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over51c150.15$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over50c149.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8929352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under49c133.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8520240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over56c123.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.611,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over52c122.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8933554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a28…cf73backed Under50c121.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.021127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.