NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x872b7fd81b59601e0f9c766aac2cd943ac806916fd77cd947cdd1f10c3fa249f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked Over | 0c | 26,308$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 7,622$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Under | 58c | 7,533$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7083…1937backed Under | 67c | 1,308$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.04 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed74…345bbacked Over | 4c | 1,205$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 58c | 768.32$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…d8e4backed Over | 15c | 621.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Under | 75c | 591$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Over | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 459.88$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 60c | 455.47$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.19 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 58c | 389.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 385.55$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Over | 47c | 370.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 42c | 345.08$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 311.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 53c | 294.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Over | 29c | 270$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Over | 29c | 270$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 53c | 243.04$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 42c | 242.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 32c | 230$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6764…6675backed Over | 41c | 222.66$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 34c | 222.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.52 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 40c | 219$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 34c | 211.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 200.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa13f…0730backed Under | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 43c | 157.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 25c | 149.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.51 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 44c | 131.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 69c | 125.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Over | 25c | 102$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 58c | 100.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Over | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 95.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 28c | 93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 40c | 77.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Over | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 42c | 68.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 40c | 60.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 44c | 52.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 58c | 44.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 66c | 44.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…4ce4backed Over | 44c | 43.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 56c | 41.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 38.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 38.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 57c | 38.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 57c | 38.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 57c | 38.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 57c | 38.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 55c | 35.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 47c | 33.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…9199backed Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 57c | 33.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 57c | 29.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 29.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da1…d6bcbacked Over | 42c | 28.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Over | 43c | 24.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. HornetsHornets won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 241.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 244.5Under won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Quenton Jackson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-18.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-19.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-21.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Hornets (-22.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Hornets (-25.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.