TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Pacers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,490,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,598,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,490,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Pacers9c256,738$23,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,638.2211137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Pacers9c69,570$6,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,261.3256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pacers3c55,101$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.381,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Pacers9c53,967$4,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,856.9916346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Pacers8c52,537$4,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,202.9429245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers9c30,543$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.0747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers11c29,562$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.0646928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Pacers8c27,646$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.3612639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers8c23,587$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.931,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Pacers10c21,285$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.53324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pacers1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Pacers8c19,454$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.8514244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pacers7c17,212$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.811,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a70…5882backed Pacers2c17,026$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.47496.1%3 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pacers8c15,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.981,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers8c14,999$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.961,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Pacers2c13,861$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.533179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Pacers13c11,200$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.9614446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Pacers8c10,946$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.382842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers1c9,357$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.577211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked Pacers3c8,787$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.843912.8%5 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pacers9c8,074$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.6861336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c7,850$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.98820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers5c6,681$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.462,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd937…d226backed Pacers8c6,500$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Pacers2c5,941$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers9c5,223$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.073,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers9c5,000$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a16…19febacked Pacers14c4,866$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers10c4,445$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.871,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Pacers9c4,316$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.436841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Pacers8c4,283$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.6528643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Pacers8c4,095$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.5924841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x340e…36f4backed Pacers9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.994652.2%24 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Pacers4c3,614$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.243511.4%4 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Pacers10c3,433$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.0311235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Pacers3c3,419$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1454838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pacers2c3,132$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2436023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Pacers8c3,089$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1327241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Pacers5c3,030$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Pacers9c2,878$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.046341.3%26 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c08…3704backed Pacers7c2,671$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.454431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Pacers8c2,492$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.369330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Pacers9c2,448$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.316628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b5…4849backed Pacers9c2,364$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.725455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e74…17adbacked Pacers10c2,150$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Pacers10c2,003$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.286126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Pacers8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca4…51cebacked Pacers15c1,898$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.72564%16 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd7…8131backed Pacers10c1,892$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.22638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Pacers9c1,891$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1710130.7%31 W · 70 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Pacers9c1,891$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1730845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pacers2c1,855$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.61,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd10b…5ef6backed Pacers10c1,718$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pacers9c1,619$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7130947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed Pacers3c1,605$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.541020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-71.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Pacers1c1,567$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1421443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc02…e0d4backed Pacers9c1,546$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1315238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Pacers8c1,473$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.344337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee21…083cbacked Pacers10c1,458$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.789453.2%50 W · 44 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Pacers10c1,419$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.92755.6%15 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+25.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd59d…8e9fbacked Pacers10c1,419$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.91136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c64…533cbacked Pacers1c1,411$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f5…de35backed Pacers10c1,399$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Pacers9c1,392$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.272520%5 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8072…0ef3backed Pacers1c1,283$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.824623.9%11 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Pacers8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers9c1,232$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Pacers10c1,220$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0311926.1%31 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Pacers1c1,201$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.313115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8f…ae52backed Pacers9c1,102$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.221963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Pacers2c1,094$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.01911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81cf…9227backed Pacers4c1,091$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.629549.5%47 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Pacers9c1,050$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5429635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Pacers9c1,050$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5435438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Pacers3c1,040$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.614825%12 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Pacers9c1,036$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.249843.9%43 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Pacers9c1,023$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0615140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Pacers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Pacers9c999.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…39e7backed Pacers10c977.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Pacers14c973.44$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2823348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f1…b417backed Pacers14c948.4$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.781650%8 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc984…195ebacked Pacers10c946$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.64850%24 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78e8…e142backed Pacers10c946$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.64057.5%23 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Pacers10c946$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.62821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Pacers7c894.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Pacers9c870.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3736949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Pacers11c836.42$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.013647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Pacers8c834.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8333632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Pacers9c801$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.095733.3%19 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pacers9c756.32$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.071,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Pacers9c735.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1838432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Pacers11c699.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7416141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed Pacers5c676.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.857128.2%20 W · 51 L-13.4wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-53.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Pacers3c659.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.836132.8%20 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc31e…a0dcbacked Pacers8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Pacers8c602.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1124044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0792…2297backed Pacers3c589.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0711031.8%35 W · 75 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pacers6c587.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.221,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.