TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$522,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$520,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b3f…3446backed Hornets50c233,638$116,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,380.661457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Pacers51c139,769$70,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,782.2815952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Pacers51c49,188$25,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,141.3512639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Pacers51c39,734$20,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,264.2632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers50c35,543$17,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,771.6243148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Pacers51c32,740$16,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,697.4119754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Hornets50c31,034$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,634.154860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Pacers50c30,300$15,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,149.862250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Hornets49c29,676$14,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,134.514847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers50c15,669$7,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,832.761,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Hornets79c10,511$8,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.371,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers50c9,777$4,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,841.041,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets51c9,683$4,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,776.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers49c7,999$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,919.591,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets50c6,981$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.546,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Hornets50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0006746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets50c5,132$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.264,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets51c4,762$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Hornets52c4,691$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.9920352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pacers48c4,618$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.281,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Hornets51c4,009$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.3916249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pacers48c3,753$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.349244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Hornets50c3,493$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.513946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pacers50c2,270$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.681,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pacers38c2,113$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.551,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Hornets48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7067…e41ebacked Hornets51c1,941$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.191338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Hornets50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Hornets49c1,913$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.4470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets49c1,838$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.382,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Hornets50c1,829$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.3831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets53c1,771$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.252,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets52c1,401$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.581,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hornets52c1,401$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Hornets50c1,290$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.0537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets49c1,236$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.282,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Hornets52c1,176$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.3727645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Pacers47c1,160$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.566023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Hornets52c1,125$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.0314441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Hornets51c1,026$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.718444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Hornets48c979.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.624151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Hornets50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48562948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Hornets50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4859357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Hornets52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Hornets51c919$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.3120051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Pacers7c849.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.321,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Hornets59c799.65$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.93452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Hornets49c791.35$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.592763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Pacers37c788.05$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Pacers50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38811235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b7…9f3abacked Hornets52c747.08$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-59.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Pacers48c712.25$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.8831354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Hornets58c675.06$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7852760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Pacers46c673.11$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.638851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets49c655.5$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.43,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Hornets62c631.84$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9743269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Pacers52c624.84$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.8315252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Hornets50c601$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.54045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Hornets52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Hornets51c596.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Pacers49c511.52$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1220846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Hornets59c499.92$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.987557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Pacers50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.519258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Pacers49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.889044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Hornets50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1943050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Hornets50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19411451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Pacers50c387.94$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19321653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets51c380.96$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.672,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Pacers48c378.5$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.686647%31 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hornets53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.361,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00f…e0e9backed Pacers50c345.32$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.663141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Hornets67c341.77$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.821443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Hornets50c321$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.58248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a10…d1cfbacked Pacers50c310.4$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.21526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Pacers50c299.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.051,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets51c298.24$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.142,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Hornets49c294$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14910255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a85…4612backed Pacers34c284.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.031827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Pacers34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.043129%9 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Hornets52c278.93$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d6…b98cbacked Hornets53c275.03$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.361369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Hornets48c257$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6941…d614backed Hornets59c256.91$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.014450%22 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Pacers50c232.8$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.420650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Pacers49c212.26$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0110745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Hornets51c209.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5814155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers47c209.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.152,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pacers51c207.92$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0493036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Hornets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10051451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Pacers49c196.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4610245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pacers52c194.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10149351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Pacers51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9925550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Hornets51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1221139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x668f…4c0fbacked Pacers49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956765.7%44 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers29c193.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.843,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Hornets72c184.75$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Hornets53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1824849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Pacers49c183.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.