TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$253,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c105,738$55,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,587.8487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c53,896$25,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,8701,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8293…ddf4backed Over51c35,811$18,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,439.241942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd9b…64ffbacked Under49c29,369$14,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,326.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c22,460$10,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,675.219,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Over53c14,725$7,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,920.92250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c11,370$5,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,456.181,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c10,427$4,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900.694,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c9,373$4,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,405.332,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under44c9,299$4,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,137.033,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c5,527$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.911,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over79c5,435$4,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.972,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c4,975$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.082,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c3,771$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.671,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Under47c3,486$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.1948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c3,205$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.3837355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over53c3,174$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.8821350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c2,936$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdda0…edaabacked Under1c2,926$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.311921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under50c2,594$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.377852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1756939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under16c2,410$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.9919246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9931046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under48c1,762$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.292,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under46c1,499$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.4557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.9784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over74c1,330$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.9760444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under49c1,228$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.9317349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c1,153$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.666,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under48c1,114$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.614940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c1,039$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7067…e41ebacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2515952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over53c932.93$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.4820651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Over52c926.58$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.8510457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Under49c849.14$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.0812240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under2c834.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.192,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over59c830.88$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5216159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Under49c803.22$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.584032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c800$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38668645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Over53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37613339.1%52 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c763.99$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.7156843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over52c734$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3220051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over54c720.3$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.3432952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under27c707.32$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.631,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c683.58$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09c7…66e4backed Over61c650$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2532528%7 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under46c629.54$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under48c614.09$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3617643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c610.37$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under41c599.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.957441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under14c501.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.771,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c499.99$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.6190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c498.27$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.861,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Under30c482.36$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.645639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under46c475.58$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7640146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c442.16$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.395,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Over54c397.96$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.068763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over68c393.76$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12611873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over51c391.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0825641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under18c386.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.421443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Over53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.368155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c7…cad0backed Over54c360.92$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7342…9197backed Over53c347.59$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.591866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c319.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Over52c317.51$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.47460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c303.66$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.022,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Over53c303.2$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.54045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2908…789abacked Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1443046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under48c291.16$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7621347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over54c284.52$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0999…016ebacked Over52c270.82$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9913850%69 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…7863backed Under28c270.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over76c263.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1995049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Over53c255.55$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.486550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Over54c241.3$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11111551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c4…9a90backed Over54c204.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.93850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under48c202.23$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8716450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over75c200.49$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9428852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed Over51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.993732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9410745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9711558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under39c193.76$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0234641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c193.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.991,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over52c186.51$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.435052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.189652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe10a…7ee7backed Over54c182.81$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.838540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8356154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe961…c32bbacked Over53c167.55$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7511459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under46c157.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8493543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Under49c143.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.165450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c143$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c141.21$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.61,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under28c136.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7652053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over52c135.41$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0875…167cbacked Over66c134.22$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.073565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.