TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdda0…edaabacked Under1c6,604$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.951921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under54c4,937$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.171,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over64c4,033$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.4719246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c2,841$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.099,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c2,594$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.193,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over44c1,977$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.4618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under42c1,906$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.772,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under11c1,564$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.852230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over56c1,171$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.628851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c1,133$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under55c918.62$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.241,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under54c906.7$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.0871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under47c669.21$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Under4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under4c599.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9911538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over65c582.22$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.871,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over54c539.92$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.213935.3%49 W · 90 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under48c504.9$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.1919258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed Over61c480.3$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.322853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c470.08$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under47c453.61$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1634953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c441.05$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.453,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under11c421.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2120837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c411.68$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.544,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under34c405.19$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5529849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under4c337$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c294.02$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.265,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c272.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.622,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under4c261.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over45c221.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7517250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Under52c209.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.776956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c203.35$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.041,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Over71c199.27$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.065152.9%27 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under12c196.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.829449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over63c196.1$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8837753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over46c193.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.528852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6161151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over60c174.28$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2352053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over45c168.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under55c155.17$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.361,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over46c152.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa13f…0730backed Over67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.281478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under49c134.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.261,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under13c120.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7510028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under56c113.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over67c113.36$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6495049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede1…3cf9backed Under37c110.84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over62c107.24$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.381,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over59c102$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2236154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over47c101.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0380653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Under36c101.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3511033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under57c94.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.866,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6253348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Over74c85.32$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.286962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under12c85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5424936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over59c74.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.311,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Under52c65.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.994057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over55c65.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3921443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over62c65.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under53c64.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.241,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over46c63.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.087051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under55c62.06$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.131,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over60c60.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9814157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Under56c59.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.16654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under30c57.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over53c54.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.491,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under55c53.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.231,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over65c48.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9346258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under44c48.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.551,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over46c44.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0777549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aad…5ab3backed Under57c41.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.722236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed Over48c31.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.626154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under48c29.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1819550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…0af4backed Over53c29.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.866154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over58c28.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.116277.4%48 W · 14 L+13.1wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1545544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under57c24.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Under49c24.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.983850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8d…1a96backed Over48c24.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.539445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Under46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.041553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over47c22.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over54c20.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4415562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Over73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.416640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x162b…2b8cbacked Over51c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under53c19.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.332957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over70c15.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5516867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.