TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-03-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,678 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No38c9,144$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.623,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes57c8,795$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,794.856358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c2,296$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.012,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes76c1,266$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7478248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes62c982.01$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5153645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes62c805.34$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.281471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes60c750$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.911741.9%49 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No33c486.83$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1676234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x831a…23d9backed Yes63c411.23$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No32c401.8$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.117532%24 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c395.53$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.341,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No36c327.09$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3614734.7%51 W · 96 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes65c308.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9517549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes66c302.71$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.789043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Yes64c300$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9063645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No34c203.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.521,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726861.8%42 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e93…5da3backed Yes67c191.04$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes76c190.6$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.43259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes64c187.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.57958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes63c156.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5848146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+105.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.54443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed No28c135.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385939%23 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.873265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes56c103.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No36c103$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0815160.9%92 W · 59 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d0…52f0backed Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24cb…1f0cbacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb9…afbbbacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d50…436fbacked Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x546e…2266backed Yes65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Yes56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.212556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No35c86.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2881732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes62c86.21$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8227554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017547.4%83 W · 92 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf711…31cbbacked Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No36c79.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5112157.9%70 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes78c74.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.443762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No38c67.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.430647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x708a…aadabacked Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Yes63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23129%9 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes61c59.33$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0733047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5eb6backed No35c57.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6f…5284backed Yes63c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebb…405abacked Yes66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes66c50.79$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.272466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes77c50.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.719856.1%55 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb2…9e4ebacked Yes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55267.3%35 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714539.3%57 W · 88 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.043554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes75c49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca0…a858backed Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.152277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+40.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b9c…b478backed Yes66c45.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.46887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.454161%25 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes63c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.917332.9%24 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes79c42.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3720436.3%74 W · 130 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c33…ff7cbacked No36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff44…b678backed Yes63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Yes76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No42c37.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.827050%35 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8f…8b2dbacked Yes64c37.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f23…6d15backed No36c33.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Yes65c33.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.855954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…ad4dbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Yes64c31.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.42875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2515854.4%86 W · 72 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93f8…c1e0backed No37c30.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x554a…077cbacked Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed No37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked No51c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43fc…9728backed Yes65c27.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb3a…b07abacked Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7511556.5%65 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.815356.6%30 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Yes69c23.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.166758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f71…9a06backed Yes66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.73616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-74.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f81…74d4backed Yes66c16.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.