NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2a8d287692c610bf8ae862b4629570e5bfcf0c94ffda9ba246a6bc39069b287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Bulls, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 46c | 5,246$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 52c | 3,129$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.47 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Bulls | 47c | 2,505$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.35 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bulls | 44c | 2,403$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.13 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,333$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.51 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,318$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.25 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.69 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Pelicans | 54c | 1,534$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.16 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans | 56c | 1,394$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.36 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Bulls | 34c | 1,063$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.47 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bulls | 45c | 999.97$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Pelicans | 54c | 941.26$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.98 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pelicans | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 67c | 888$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Pelicans | 56c | 887.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.44 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Bulls | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Pelicans | 55c | 455.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.76 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Bulls | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Pelicans | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Pelicans | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Pelicans | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 45c | 176$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…c2e1backed Pelicans | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 45c | 159.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Pelicans | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef3…6ee3backed Pelicans | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Pelicans | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Pelicans | 54c | 101.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Bulls | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Pelicans | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Pelicans | 68c | 79.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Pelicans | 54c | 74.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bulls | 46c | 70.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Pelicans | 55c | 70.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Pelicans | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Bulls | 46c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Pelicans | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Bulls | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Pelicans | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Pelicans | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Pelicans | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…aadabacked Pelicans | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Pelicans | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bulls | 45c | 22.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)this page
- Pelicans vs. BullsPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 249.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.