NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3882a36ace60d779f40984746c9111fc80b05df399d9a44ca767b494454a96b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Over | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,800 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 69,500$34,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,445 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 2,136$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…8eeabacked Under | 51c | 1,922$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 1,690$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Over | 49c | 1,568$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.32 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 51c | 653.22$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.14 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 47c | 425$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Under | 49c | 360$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 357.68$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 4c | 353$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Under | 49c | 220$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef3…6ee3backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 105.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Under | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 52c | 59.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…a6b5backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5this page
- Pelicans vs. BullsPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 249.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.