NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa93c80e499c022daa73aa5794525a0ede174d79f28e4db8e1963a0fa9ad39bb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Under | 50c | 8,031$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 50c | 3,495$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.5 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 67c | 549.25$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 33c | 454.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.23 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 418$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 320.03$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 30c | 287.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 213.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…895fbacked Over | 65c | 153.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 10c | 149.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 41c | 96.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 74.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 57c | 61.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 57c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 40c | 51.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…51c6backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 41c | 48.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Over | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5this page
- Pelicans vs. BullsPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 249.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.