NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3549866d74c29062ed226c541edfb6087ef6548250c1c2a9cb379dc677084792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 59c | 5,736$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.06 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…ee8dbacked Under | 52c | 5,119$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 48c | 4,999$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.63 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 51c | 4,907$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 2,631$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.48 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 2,153$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over | 49c | 2,045$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Over | 51c | 1,118$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 1,011$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.24 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 760$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 53c | 579.25$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.25 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 42c | 577$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 475.83$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…6733backed Under | 57c | 436.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…bb7cbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…dff3backed Under | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Under | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 52c | 264.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…1633backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…d2ecbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 58c | 127.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 52c | 109.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…1795backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…7a68backed Over | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 83.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf190…255fbacked Under | 53c | 79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 57c | 75.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…6d88backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4af…0938backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 42c | 47.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…646ebacked Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…5017backed Over | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…c455backed Over | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Under | 58c | 32.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Under | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d5…9585backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 45c | 23.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…068ebacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5this page
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. HawksSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.