NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d42a0594f8ca022ca28db2a99d9decbf402bbc21bd7c135d1d48268dd1fe02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Spurs | 50c | 80,500$40,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,460 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks | 51c | 64,033$32,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,630.7 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…05c3backed Spurs | 49c | 53,000$25,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,029.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Hawks | 51c | 31,700$16,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,166.75 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…d53cbacked Hawks | 50c | 31,600$15,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,800 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Spurs | 50c | 24,276$12,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,138.04 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Spurs | 49c | 20,400$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,404 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Hawks | 51c | 11,973$6,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,086.28 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Hawks | 50c | 11,580$5,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Spurs | 46c | 11,180$5,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,037.19 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 48c | 11,107$5,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,739.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hawks | 50c | 10,529$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.22 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…71cebacked Hawks | 51c | 9,824$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…a53bbacked Hawks | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Hawks | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f3…2e67backed Hawks | 54c | 8,226$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,441.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hawks | 52c | 6,593$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 53c | 6,431$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Hawks | 50c | 6,200$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 50c | 5,641$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ef…a500backed Hawks | 51c | 5,520$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Hawks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…c4acbacked Hawks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…c26cbacked Hawks | 51c | 4,430$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spurs | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Hawks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Spurs | 49c | 2,999$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.64 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…ee8dbacked Hawks | 54c | 2,763$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Hawks | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 48c | 1,239$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.16 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Spurs | 48c | 1,022$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.34 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b73…18a4backed Hawks | 51c | 858.82$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Spurs | 46c | 825.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.03 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Spurs | 46c | 824$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.96 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…eda3backed Hawks | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Hawks | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Hawks | 53c | 653.29$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.02 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Spurs | 49c | 613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Hawks | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 49c | 526.45$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.82 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Spurs | 49c | 525$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Hawks | 50c | 513.21$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.6 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Spurs | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Spurs | 50c | 434.83$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Hawks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Hawks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Spurs | 52c | 375$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.15 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Hawks | 51c | 314$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Spurs | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Spurs | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Hawks | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Spurs | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Hawks | 51c | 229$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Spurs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Spurs | 50c | 200.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Hawks | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…6fcabacked Hawks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hawks | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Hawks | 52c | 128.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Spurs | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Spurs | 50c | 113.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed Spurs | 47c | 111.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa513…40fdbacked Hawks | 54c | 104$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Spurs | 49c | 101.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Hawks | 52c | 96.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Spurs | 50c | 84.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 49c | 83.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Spurs | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Spurs | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Spurs | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…e9dbbacked Spurs | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…705dbacked Spurs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…2739backed Spurs | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f639backed Spurs | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Hawks | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Spurs | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Spurs | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…05ecbacked Hawks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Spurs | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Spurs | 50c | 28.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Spurs | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed Spurs | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Spurs | 50c | 21.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. HawksSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.