NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9faed899889c7df0b56699ec10d22703b466cb66fae44e3f27cd0585a87f5836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 50c | 92,334$46,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,600.24 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Spurs | 49c | 76,659$37,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,722.99 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Spurs | 56c | 44,334$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,334.16 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Hawks | 43c | 23,550$10,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,126.38 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Hawks | 47c | 15,091$7,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,092.84 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Hawks | 50c | 11,511$5,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,755.55 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Spurs | 50c | 7,016$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.24 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 52c | 6,927$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.95 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Spurs | 49c | 4,529$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.57 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Hawks | 49c | 4,359$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.82 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hawks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hawks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Spurs | 53c | 3,151$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.15 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks | 45c | 2,752$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.02 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Spurs | 49c | 2,700$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 51c | 2,688$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.62 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Spurs | 50c | 2,109$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.62 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Hawks | 50c | 2,109$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.62 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…949bbacked Hawks | 51c | 1,762$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 50c | 1,482$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 46c | 1,108$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Hawks | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 76c | 1,062$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 43c | 1,022$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Hawks | 48c | 1,011$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.38 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…4867backed Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Hawks | 46c | 994.01$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.24 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Spurs | 53c | 981$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.56 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Hawks | 52c | 951.92$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Spurs | 53c | 924.53$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Spurs | 54c | 912.76$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.87 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks | 47c | 877$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.19 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Hawks | 52c | 799.57$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.77 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…01a3backed Spurs | 48c | 654.17$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 53c | 637$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.03 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Hawks | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Spurs | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…d527backed Hawks | 50c | 590$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…435cbacked Spurs | 49c | 560$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Hawks | 46c | 556.1$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.8 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 52c | 521.67$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.14 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 50c | 463$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.14 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawks | 3c | 445$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Hawks | 46c | 372.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.38 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…e8ecbacked Spurs | 53c | 360.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed Spurs | 50c | 344.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Spurs | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Spurs | 54c | 294$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Spurs | 54c | 286.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 46c | 276.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Spurs | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…eda3backed Hawks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Spurs | 50c | 210.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Spurs | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Hawks | 51c | 197.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Spurs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Spurs | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Spurs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…b2e9backed Spurs | 51c | 144.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…fc44backed Spurs | 55c | 137.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…6cb7backed Hawks | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Spurs | 48c | 117.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Hawks | 47c | 109.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Hawks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Hawks | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Hawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Spurs | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Spurs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Spurs | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Hawks | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Hawks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Spurs | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Spurs | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…b875backed Spurs | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Hawks | 47c | 85.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Spurs | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hawks | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Hawks | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…7800backed Spurs | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Hawks | 47c | 72.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af0…1929backed Hawks | 47c | 72.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…0074backed Spurs | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Hawks | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Hawks | 47c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…b633backed Spurs | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…804fbacked Spurs | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Hawks | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Spurs | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hawks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Spurs | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4024backed Spurs | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Spurs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. HawksSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.