TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,587 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e01…2c8abacked Under67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9914840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over30c1,990$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.2415232.2%49 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Under71c1,268$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.1763458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over35c1,262$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.6228240.8%115 W · 167 L-16.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under65c914.44$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.41,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…efbebacked Under65c800$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2823540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over44c753.18$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33114835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under34c665.98$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.3431646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e31…a06fbacked Under65c622.97$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.991573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x641c…9a65backed Over35c591.97$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.211855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over39c557.85$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.472,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1e…4123backed Under61c527$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.539851%50 W · 48 L-9.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under72c501.88$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4319648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Under70c499$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.739749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over32c470.05$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.622,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under70c357.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2917039.4%67 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Over33c333$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8910749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed Over33c315$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Under52c304.84$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3212347.2%58 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8991…c4bcbacked Over44c275.04$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+30.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over26c259.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5930731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Over46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.922355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over29c243.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6690348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.42,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ac…3281backed Under68c225.22$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-75.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under37c205.96$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7925466.5%169 W · 85 L+22.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under8c200$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18411316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f8…3940backed Under70c164.3$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.29785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x093d…615bbacked Under67c161.18$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2415955.3%88 W · 71 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011450.9%58 W · 56 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over13c146.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.543,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b9…aa71backed Over36c139.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over34c119.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9940143.9%176 W · 225 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over33c118.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.085442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c7…264fbacked Over35c115.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028040%112 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over33c113.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9830246%139 W · 163 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over33c106.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3548042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Over47c105.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Over33c100.82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.278438.1%32 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3242835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459549.5%47 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36ce…daddbacked Over30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…16e6backed Over42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211852.5%62 W · 56 L-0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Under70c96.32$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked Over26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f0…2923backed Over48c91.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448939.3%35 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc834…685fbacked Under73c87.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.672864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x068e…6d88backed Under70c84.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.461361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c27…eea9backed Under71c79.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.72250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over33c78.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.084420.5%9 W · 35 L-9.8wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-62.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over32c76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3213357.1%76 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…3a30backed Under66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7615857.6%91 W · 67 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b5…0a9bbacked Under67c75.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.11872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Over31c73.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…0723backed Under68c73.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81f…4525backed Under71c70.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.913956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over29c65.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2230247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa91f…5f3bbacked Over47c62.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over27c62.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.881,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209538.9%37 W · 58 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc995…a06dbacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe573…3769backed Over33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Under65c59.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8651160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1625851.9%134 W · 124 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over36c49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8189810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaaa…a1a1backed Over45c44.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Under70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.861163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x022b…1dd9backed Over39c41.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Over30c40.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0614545.5%66 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Over30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb593…dbc7backed Under71c36.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.655100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Under69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.237349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf97…dc45backed Over39c33.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2875%6 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+160.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4143…91aabacked Under60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cdf…486cbacked Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebbf…39f7backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…d6c6backed Under68c30.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.792055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…01eebacked Over62c29.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Under70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.576342.9%27 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x941e…9775backed Under73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.417067.1%114 W · 56 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under66c25.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7428559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf040…3a86backed Over79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab8…7a9fbacked Under51c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under64c17.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3923348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1760…31afbacked Under71c14.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.18580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+140.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.