Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06e18447affba49a4ba984a5d40a26bf22bf450d0ac9adc381d9996d51f427b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,587 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Under | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 30c | 1,990$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.24 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 71c | 1,268$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.17 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Over | 35c | 1,262$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.62 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -16.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 65c | 914.44$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.4 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…efbebacked Under | 65c | 800$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over | 44c | 753.18$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 34c | 665.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.34 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e31…a06fbacked Under | 65c | 622.97$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…9a65backed Over | 35c | 591.97$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 557.85$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.47 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Under | 61c | 527$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.53 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 72c | 501.88$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Under | 70c | 499$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 32c | 470.05$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 70c | 357.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Over | 33c | 333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…e428backed Over | 33c | 315$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 52c | 304.84$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8991…c4bcbacked Over | 44c | 275.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 26c | 259.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 29c | 243.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ac…3281backed Under | 68c | 225.22$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 37c | 205.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 254 | 66.5%169 W · 85 L | +22.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…3940backed Under | 70c | 164.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093d…615bbacked Under | 67c | 161.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 13c | 146.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…aa71backed Over | 36c | 139.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 34c | 119.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 401 | 43.9%176 W · 225 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 33c | 118.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 35c | 115.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 33c | 113.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 33c | 106.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 105.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Over | 33c | 100.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Over | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…16e6backed Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 70c | 96.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed Over | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc834…685fbacked Under | 73c | 87.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…6d88backed Under | 70c | 84.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed Under | 71c | 79.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 33c | 78.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 32c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…0a9bbacked Under | 67c | 75.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Over | 31c | 73.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…0723backed Under | 68c | 73.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…4525backed Under | 71c | 70.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 29c | 65.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa91f…5f3bbacked Over | 47c | 62.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 27c | 62.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…a06dbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…3769backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Under | 65c | 59.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 36c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…a1a1backed Over | 45c | 44.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…1dd9backed Over | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Over | 30c | 40.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…dbc7backed Under | 71c | 36.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…dc45backed Over | 39c | 33.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…91aabacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…486cbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebbf…39f7backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Under | 68c | 30.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…01eebacked Over | 62c | 29.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 170 | 67.1%114 W · 56 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 66c | 25.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab8…7a9fbacked Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 64c | 17.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…31afbacked Under | 71c | 14.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 4?G2 Esports won
- Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.