TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over51c32,093$16,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,729.9718352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c8,830$4,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,372.952,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under39c3,133$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.4717440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under36c3,027$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.620036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over60c2,985$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.6819155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c2,957$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.525,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c2,488$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.94136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27ef…e59abacked Under33c2,177$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.67714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-76%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over50c2,048$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.215042%21 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under49c1,568$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.3222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under49c1,561$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7652751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over58c1,512$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.871,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under5c1,364$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8312434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c1,125$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.251,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under49c1,122$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under49c1,027$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50313134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under4c974.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under49c761$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.8912754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under39c702.1$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.488755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c680.67$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.653,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under20c586.15$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under52c537.02$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.255147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under8c536.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+118.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under49c443.29$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.217748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Under4c424.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.353327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under5c404.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19619559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under49c382$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1831039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c380.38$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.272,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over49c353.78$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.691,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked Under52c348.19$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over60c339$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.971,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under55c331.52$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.067742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under49c300.65$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.322025%5 W · 15 L-5.5wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c299.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.991,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under49c269.5$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7719349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under49c255$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.951,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under5c241.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.675834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Under49c236$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.642536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under12c232.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.16331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under49c228.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.991,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3376951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.962556%14 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9824956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9828851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9823056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c195.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.532,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Under49c179.47$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.943135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under49c163.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over57c161.3$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7932139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under49c156$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Over47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9420934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over66c146.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0651750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under40c142.72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5314943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over47c135$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.558554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under44c134.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1113856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under51c128$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2817951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c123$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.012,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under49c122.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under49c122.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.991,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c117.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.151,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c104.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.041,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under48c100.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0424855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4923253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under51c88.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1816050.6%81 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under49c87.68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.963938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over68c83.17$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4448547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under49c80.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.625042%21 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e27…9121backed Under49c79.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over65c74.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9412545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3110044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over56c66.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over60c66.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4335246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under50c58.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.411,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over75c58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.64281%34 W · 8 L+12.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+66.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under50c53.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7816449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under49c46.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.935848.3%28 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under49c46.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.759056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over69c43.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.275646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015057.3%86 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1172058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Under56c38.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over50c38.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0566837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under47c36.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2363061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under49c35.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.363548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9541262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under44c33.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6211944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4790…cea7backed Over71c30.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8613…2f76backed Over50c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.