South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc49b91c60777d36437485c8cc7f806b932d130ea82ff7e279471ff0856b42a4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 51c | 32,093$16,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,729.97 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 8,830$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.95 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 39c | 3,133$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.47 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 36c | 3,027$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.6 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 60c | 2,985$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.68 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 2,957$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 2,488$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.9 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ef…e59abacked Under | 33c | 2,177$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 50c | 2,048$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.21 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 49c | 1,568$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.32 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 49c | 1,561$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 1,512$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.87 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 5c | 1,364$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,125$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.25 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 49c | 1,027$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 4c | 974.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 49c | 761$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.89 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 39c | 702.1$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.48 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 680.67$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.65 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 20c | 586.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 52c | 537.02$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.25 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 8c | 536.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 49c | 443.29$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Under | 4c | 424.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 5c | 404.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 49c | 382$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 380.38$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.27 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 353.78$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.69 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…e26dbacked Under | 52c | 348.19$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 60c | 339$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 55c | 331.52$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 49c | 300.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 49c | 269.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 49c | 255$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 5c | 241.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Under | 49c | 236$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 12c | 232.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 228.29$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 195.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 49c | 179.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 49c | 163.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 57c | 161.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 49c | 156$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 66c | 146.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 40c | 142.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 44c | 134.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 128$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 123$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 122.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 117.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 104.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 48c | 100.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 51c | 88.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 49c | 87.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 68c | 83.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 49c | 80.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…9121backed Under | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 65c | 74.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 56c | 66.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 60c | 66.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 58.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 75c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 50c | 53.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 49c | 46.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 49c | 46.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 69c | 43.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 56c | 38.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 38.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 36.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 49c | 35.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 44c | 33.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…cea7backed Over | 71c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: CR Flamengo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: CR Flamengo O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.