South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12308d23e57b86327cfe2f67a18b52363cd9f6b7f6a77b0b9cbacdb571259bf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cruzeiro ECof CR Flamengo, Cruzeiro EC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed CR Flamengo | 35c | 58,180$20,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,309.7 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 21,363$13,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,580.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cruzeiro EC | 72c | 8,773$6,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 7,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 7,341$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.43 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed CR Flamengo | 20c | 6,066$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.09 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…29b6backed Cruzeiro EC | 68c | 4,013$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 2,989$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.16 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 2,077$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.05 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 1,808$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.95 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 1,568$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.8 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 1,528$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cruzeiro EC | 66c | 933.2$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cruzeiro EC | 54c | 900.49$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.53 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cruzeiro EC | 57c | 794.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.91 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CR Flamengo | 32c | 662$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.84 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 625.28$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.85 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 603.04$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.9 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed CR Flamengo | 50c | 584.79$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.4 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 572$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.36 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed CR Flamengo | 51c | 561.11$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.94 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed CR Flamengo | 37c | 534.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Cruzeiro EC | 68c | 492.6$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.96 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Cruzeiro EC | 66c | 469.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cruzeiro EC | 66c | 395.25$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked CR Flamengo | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Cruzeiro EC | 66c | 342$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Cruzeiro EC | 66c | 342$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cruzeiro EC | 66c | 297.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Cruzeiro EC | 68c | 264.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed CR Flamengo | 34c | 264.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Cruzeiro EC | 77c | 253$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed CR Flamengo | 34c | 239$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed CR Flamengo | 30c | 230.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed CR Flamengo | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CR Flamengo | 46c | 159.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 156$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed CR Flamengo | 52c | 138.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Cruzeiro EC | 75c | 136$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Cruzeiro EC | 60c | 132.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cruzeiro EC | 66c | 128$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cruzeiro EC | 78c | 127.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 115.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Cruzeiro EC | 78c | 114.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Cruzeiro EC | 78c | 112.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cruzeiro EC | 74c | 105.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Cruzeiro EC | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked CR Flamengo | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 99.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Cruzeiro EC | 67c | 98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed CR Flamengo | 51c | 96.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed CR Flamengo | 52c | 94.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed CR Flamengo | 52c | 94.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked CR Flamengo | 51c | 94.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 82.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed CR Flamengo | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed CR Flamengo | 31c | 64.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Cruzeiro EC | 80c | 61.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Cruzeiro EC | 75c | 60.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Cruzeiro EC | 78c | 60.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Cruzeiro EC | 67c | 56.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 50.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Cruzeiro EC | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CR Flamengo | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked CR Flamengo | 51c | 47.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Cruzeiro EC | 67c | 44.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed CR Flamengo | 32c | 41.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cruzeiro EC | 69c | 40.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed CR Flamengo | 51c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed CR Flamengo | 52c | 37.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed CR Flamengo | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed CR Flamengo | 52c | 37.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed CR Flamengo | 35c | 31.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Cruzeiro EC | 69c | 29.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 28.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed CR Flamengo | 51c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Cruzeiro EC | 66c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed CR Flamengo | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked CR Flamengo | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed CR Flamengo | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 22.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Cruzeiro EC | 67c | 21.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 18.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 15.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Cruzeiro EC | 74c | 13.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: CR Flamengo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: CR Flamengo O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.