TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,947 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under4c3,203$135 inLost-$135.164626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under16c2,826$451 inLost-$451.2517440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under15c2,700$405 inLost-$405.0420036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under5c2,361$122 inLost-$121.578833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Under15c992.54$147 inLost-$146.874542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under9c738.88$70 inLost-$7011817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under14c714.27$100 inLost-$1009920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c663.83$146 inLost-$146.018,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under3c407.33$12 inLost-$12.226524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c8…20d5backed Over75c265.33$199 inWon+$66.332060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over79c216.68$170 inWon+$46.298928.1%25 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under21c190.47$40 inLost-$406053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over77c179.68$138 inWon+$42.031,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over77c168.72$129 inWon+$39.421,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over79c146$115 inWon+$31.2118426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bda…d4a0backed Over74c119.99$89 inWon+$31.21861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Under26c77.19$20 inLost-$20.072254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under19c65.94$13 inLost-$12.533633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under23c58.32$13 inLost-$13.1760156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under26c50.5$13 inLost-$13.136349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under23c46$11 inLost-$10.5841262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over74c45$33 inWon+$11.72,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb696…7a4ebacked Under25c40$10 inLost-$102060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over70c20$14 inWon+$685220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.