South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fbadff85b925d10ea91afb3fcf92dffeecb513adf94f486193f930038f4f794
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 68c | 8,701$5,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.32 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 33c | 5,660$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.2 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 5,568$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 3,099$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 63c | 1,834$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 47c | 1,492$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.04 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 1,295$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 36c | 1,205$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.46 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ef…e59abacked Over | 58c | 1,084$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 1,077$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.85 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 41c | 876.25$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.02 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 6c | 645$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 42c | 484.87$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.02 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 28c | 471.43$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over | 45c | 384.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 79c | 380.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 55c | 360.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 358.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.25 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 316.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 80c | 249.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 6c | 206.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 33c | 206.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 202.7$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Over | 6c | 189.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3689…09aabacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 72c | 135.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 124.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 76c | 117.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Under | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 26c | 60.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 36c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…24b1backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Over | 52c | 38.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 37.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 46c | 30.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…acebbacked Under | 64c | 18.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 18.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…4db7backed Under | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: CR Flamengo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: CR Flamengo O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.