TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$477,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $477,070 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9750…263dbacked 9z39c51,425$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ65c29,498$19,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,304.263,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed 9z27c24,302$6,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,589.9514441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed 9z66c17,525$11,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,479.2733452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ74c14,000$10,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,64076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ59c13,026$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,325.973,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 9z21c12,168$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.0224544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed 9z9c11,200$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00822142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ60c9,481$5,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,746.192,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ75c8,807$6,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.062,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked MOUZ68c8,000$5,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.7219757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked 9z12c7,326$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.4730726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed 9z69c5,796$3,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,974.812649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7433…c66cbacked MOUZ48c4,144$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.682166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed 9z26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed 9z21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9955738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 9z25c4,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.981,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z23c3,946$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.62,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed MOUZ74c3,644$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.3646949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed MOUZ54c3,641$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.8457358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc903…2f9abacked 9z14c3,590$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+68.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81046149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ66c2,997$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.4639248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked 9z22c2,622$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.3312352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ34c2,569$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.717,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ70c2,411$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.846,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed 9z22c2,365$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.9625934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked 9z12c2,010$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8822927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed 9z25c1,900$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9846749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked MOUZ62c1,756$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.746165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed 9z24c1,744$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.284122%9 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed MOUZ61c1,640$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.155261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed MOUZ75c1,610$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.7534156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MOUZ65c1,554$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.353,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ72c1,525$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.022,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed 9z1c1,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked 9z23c1,480$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.957857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ77c1,438$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.2241260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 9z29c1,324$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed MOUZ76c1,309$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.0613453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b9…0eddbacked MOUZ73c1,309$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.434645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed 9z17c1,295$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6529831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ41c1,250$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.8661228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ72c1,250$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.034,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc765…9322backed MOUZ74c1,227$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.96100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked MOUZ79c1,192$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0421939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5a…952fbacked 9z26c1,089$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked 9z28c1,054$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked 9z8c1,014$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8518336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked 9z32c1,001$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.5847738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 9z42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked 9z1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked 9z1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13340%0 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 9z13c999.54$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.411,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ69c994.44$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.780744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed MOUZ35c960.19$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.1922342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed MOUZ52c919.77$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.4912941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed MOUZ51c899.97$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.9841716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked MOUZ60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3328443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked MOUZ50c804.52$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.1612132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed MOUZ63c796.15$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1513036.9%48 W · 82 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…9d98backed MOUZ70c793.64$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.723348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 9z12c765.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.881,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…d235backed 9z13c755.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed MOUZ75c707.79$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5960853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 9z73c700$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9535850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked 9z2c700$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 9z43c697$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7160248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ74c684.61$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17853444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked 9z24c675$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16229046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked MOUZ75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6723952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed 9z24c652.42$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4811546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed 9z2c652$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0222938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed 9z23c640.38$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.298050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed 9z16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 9z39c624$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.851,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed MOUZ73c595.53$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7931444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ58c557.18$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7339851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe262…4097backed 9z44c555.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.564537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ63c554.93$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.652,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked 9z16c546.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4232536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed MOUZ75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.338458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 9z11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5546345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked 9z22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa0…c3acbacked MOUZ61c473.85$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.854065%26 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked 9z20c472.32$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.241,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed 9z10c466.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6835344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked 9z31c465.31$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.046043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed MOUZ77c462.67$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.429465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ac…ae05backed 9z15c444$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.62218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-64%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked MOUZ55c429.13$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0178963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked MOUZ74c402.31$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.641069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed 9z12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked 9z28c399.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11219741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed 9z10c397.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.757322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked 9z25c392.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked MOUZ77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6114555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 9z18c387.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.381,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed 9z26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed MOUZ74c379.77$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7760358.5%353 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.