TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof MOUZ, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,064 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf394…cdb1backed MOUZ65c16,722$10,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,862.26650%33 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed MOUZ68c16,253$11,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,003.992556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed 9z35c8,854$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,755.3614441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ0c8,218$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.321,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed 9z33c7,500$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,02512441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed MOUZ66c6,385$4,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,189.9833452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe501…5c4fbacked 9z35c5,315$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,454.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked 9z36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked 9z34c3,767$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.1283652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 9z35c3,490$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.931,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked MOUZ64c3,292$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.8514954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed 9z36c3,153$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.7185446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked MOUZ66c3,030$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.1219047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed 9z34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 9z31c3,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,07098052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked 9z37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.9714934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 9z41c2,980$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.373,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked MOUZ62c2,914$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.9738358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed 9z34c2,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.994242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed MOUZ64c2,344$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked MOUZ63c2,085$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.5714144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ64c1,691$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.2424846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed 9z35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97513545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed 9z31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0351,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc903…2f9abacked 9z38c1,400$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+68.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked 9z37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63023932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 9z42c953.29$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.422,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed MOUZ72c899.99$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64876546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed 9z35c882$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.9825934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed 9z35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1420838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79e8…db51backed MOUZ57c833.1$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.871346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864f…ebe6backed 9z34c815.57$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+89.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 9z38c789$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.1860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 9z32c777$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.361,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ68c724.79$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.345,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9z35c719.99$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.995,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed MOUZ62c702.54$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.5511852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed 9z34c625$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.524429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed MOUZ66c606.05$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9922952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed 9z34c599.98$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9932042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed MOUZ62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31014950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed 9z36c491.65$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.6513030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed MOUZ63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked MOUZ66c454.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed 9z36c418.89$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.4922734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed 9z32c400$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27210139.6%40 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c4…0893backed MOUZ66c387.8$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked MOUZ73c363.22$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2724249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed 9z28c355.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7252951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed 9z35c330$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.53043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f8…2b7cbacked MOUZ64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed MOUZ65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed 9z57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed 9z38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.167055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed 9z38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1637232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ66c238.61$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4860953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf35c…906dbacked MOUZ39c236.47$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed 9z12c233.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.373716.2%6 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed MOUZ65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa157…8641backed MOUZ62c224.02$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f6…e98bbacked MOUZ66c206.76$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed 9z38c203.58$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5815056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked MOUZ75c200.4$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15066753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked 9z35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13049849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked MOUZ55c200$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1097545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed 9z34c199.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9860848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed 9z34c180.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9413740.9%56 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked 9z36c175$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11225045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed 9z36c158.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3327744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked MOUZ64c156.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.327848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed MOUZ64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9147…baccbacked MOUZ66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed 9z35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed MOUZ73c143.68$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5429153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 9z37c133.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9752837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked 9z38c132.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.368647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked 9z32c130.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9146447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed 9z38c122.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8744343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd99…c06cbacked MOUZ66c117.53$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.575662.5%35 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed 9z35c115$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed 9z35c109.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.550947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked 9z57c109.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.292944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…359bbacked MOUZ65c108.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.312343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed MOUZ62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed MOUZ65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.41per pick63cpaid-65.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed MOUZ64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6437445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed MOUZ65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6512954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed MOUZ63c99.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9923333%77 W · 156 L-22.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed 9z28c98.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.254362.8%27 W · 16 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed 9z38c92.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1168753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c7…fb64backed MOUZ63c91.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.751154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed 9z42c90.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4552755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed 9z35c79.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5212856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed MOUZ64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014439.6%57 W · 87 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed MOUZ66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee26…c270backed MOUZ66c75.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked MOUZ67c74.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x171d…c8e8backed MOUZ65c70.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.55520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5b6…fdefbacked 9z37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5710337.9%39 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.