CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6ef92118c93bd9c0b5b1ca97278123beb68c3835455cb1940dc82623902a240
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,349 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9c…b3e0backed Over | 11c | 4,683$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.68 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 32c | 2,664$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.54 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 61c | 973.54$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.24 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 66c | 863.98$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.23 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Under | 65c | 765.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 61c | 732.81$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.26 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Under | 65c | 723.34$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.34 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 71c | 691.36$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.29 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 28c | 534.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.81 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 35c | 488.64$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.65 | 261 | 34.5%90 W · 171 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 22c | 434.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.26 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…381abacked Over | 27c | 429.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.7 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 74c | 375.14$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.12 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 65c | 372.31$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 36c | 366$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Over | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 55c | 257$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 63c | 213.31$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.36 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f22…9d96backed Over | 26c | 192.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 67c | 182.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 66c | 170.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 605 | 58.5%354 W · 251 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 72c | 152$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 34c | 150.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 67c | 148.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Over | 43c | 116.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 41c | 113.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 65c | 108.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Under | 65c | 107.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…915bbacked Over | 28c | 107.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 74c | 101.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…fb96backed Under | 73c | 101.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Under | 64c | 93.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Under | 51c | 91.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 58c | 77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Under | 66c | 76.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Under | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Under | 71c | 69.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 39c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 498 | 66.9%333 W · 165 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed Under | 66c | 50.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…3c1cbacked Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Under | 77c | 31.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 618 | 54.9%339 W · 279 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 69c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Under | 77c | 30.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…e26dbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Under | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Under | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…5ff6backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…dc9ebacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Under | 56c | 18.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Under | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B9z won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.