TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,788 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over49c102,100$50,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,070.8439249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under51c40,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,4007147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under51c32,909$16,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,783.4622049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10023145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under51c5,974$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.1920944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.997055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Over48c2,973$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.776243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50023952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under51c2,914$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.147445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under51c2,041$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.881450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Under51c1,737$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88621045.7%96 W · 114 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under51c1,241$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63317847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under53c985.22$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.4421737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under51c874.51$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44610947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over47c865.15$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.524146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Over48c666$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.328445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32519351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under51c564.71$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2889349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over71c423.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.881,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over63c422.38$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.843,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under50c384.76$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under43c336.9$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.272,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under36c299.71$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.34,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under31c283.46$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510139.6%40 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under54c240.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Over61c224.2$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4433960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over74c220.24$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381,64332.8%539 W · 1,104 L-48.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over63c214.53$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2369863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over51c204.8$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4511340.7%46 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10612132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10224943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Under54c144.96$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.284122%9 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over51c104$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.555,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7342…9197backed Over48c102.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.141631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.25per pick57cpaid-47.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.481246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a1…4237backed Under51c92.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd705…c09abacked Under51c85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under28c83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8345224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Over57c79.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.55962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under36c73.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6845956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under40c71.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.852,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2f…1bffbacked Under24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x455b…ae12backed Over65c69.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.234269%29 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2eaa…2c9bbacked Under51c67.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebea…e2d5backed Over50c66.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0d…65ebbacked Under54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f18…a278backed Under51c64.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c62.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.343,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Over56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.531757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Over73c58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3827443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc3…66acbacked Over50c57.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce83…aa2ebacked Over50c54.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e10…8030backed Under51c53.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over73c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8848948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefc1…f616backed Over50c49.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9960451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd574…3152backed Over50c45.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.998444%37 W · 47 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf62f…9ba2backed Over50c44.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb898…151cbacked Under54c44.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410353.4%55 W · 48 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf52a…c626backed Under51c42.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f0…dcb8backed Over50c41.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Under51c39.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1915056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec3b…fbabbacked Over65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.464660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x142d…bf73backed Under53c37.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc3a…250dbacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52fe…c258backed Over64c36.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.022763%17 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8448943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa5…05bbbacked Over48c35.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.424351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under54c33.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.361471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under56c32.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1816444.5%73 W · 91 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over60c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6949745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over67c25.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5124544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked Over65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.752552%13 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7d7…ec13backed Over50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over64c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2829244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over49c21.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0911646.6%54 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7981…72bfbacked Under54c20.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a1…1472backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.212856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f7…60a7backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013158.8%77 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.215965.4%104 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022651.3%116 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Over64c15.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7916464.6%106 W · 58 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.