CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9d8bc261bcf37149692bb28efcbbf32cf6f989b9bd52eb3bf5e087acf331f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FaZeof Aurora Gaming, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked FaZe | 63c | 4,095$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.09 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 2,663$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.31 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 2,181$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed FaZe | 64c | 1,803$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.44 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 1,800$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FaZe | 65c | 1,709$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.23 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 1,124$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.29 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,071$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed FaZe | 65c | 999.92$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.55 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 899.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 850$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 842.59$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.06 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FaZe | 63c | 698.1$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.13 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FaZe | 63c | 665.84$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.36 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7424…ce06backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Aurora Gaming | 5c | 546$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 512.34$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed FaZe | 65c | 490$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…2a20backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 490$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed FaZe | 67c | 432.4$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.69 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked FaZe | 64c | 350.06$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FaZe | 62c | 305.14$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…e81bbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 269.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…f66fbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 257.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 249.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked FaZe | 66c | 249.25$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 237.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked FaZe | 63c | 237.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed FaZe | 71c | 230$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 218.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FaZe | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed FaZe | 64c | 186.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked FaZe | 67c | 164.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 156.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed FaZe | 69c | 139.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 135$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FaZe | 66c | 105$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed FaZe | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 76.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 76.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed FaZe | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f0…3eb3backed FaZe | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed FaZe | 63c | 75.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 508 | 46.9%238 W · 270 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 56.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 51.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed FaZe | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 37.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked FaZe | 62c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed FaZe | 66c | 26.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed FaZe | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked FaZe | 63c | 23.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed FaZe | 61c | 20.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…4224backed FaZe | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group AAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.