CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f167c04ba552890fb8665f83857c62dd5eda703649b49414f00777d246637e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,939 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Over | 38c | 6,000$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.19 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 4,779$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.11 | 3,262 | 50.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L | +97.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 71c | 1,446$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.58 | 1,673 | 32.7%547 W · 1,126 L | -48.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 5c | 495.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 43c | 461.12$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…803dbacked Over | 36c | 454$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 25c | 357.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 39c | 325.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…fea8backed Over | 36c | 323$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…3dbbbacked Under | 63c | 315$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9a…308cbacked Under | 63c | 315$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed Over | 40c | 300.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…fe97backed Under | 63c | 298$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b3…70b2backed Over | 44c | 297.51$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…3630backed Under | 63c | 292$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed Under | 60c | 262.18$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…df61backed Under | 63c | 244$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…aa1ebacked Under | 63c | 239$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…65fcbacked Under | 64c | 227$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0d…64acbacked Under | 64c | 212$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36d…7ceebacked Over | 37c | 209$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…6c49backed Over | 37c | 206$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…ed75backed Over | 37c | 199$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c86…a5a4backed Over | 37c | 191$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…5907backed Over | 37c | 183$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…427dbacked Over | 37c | 179$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599e…af7dbacked Under | 64c | 167$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…68fdbacked Under | 63c | 165$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 66c | 162.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 3,256 | 51.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L | +89.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…9453backed Over | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…f81abacked Over | 37c | 153$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af7…75b4backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…aababacked Over | 37c | 141$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…99cfbacked Under | 64c | 141$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec8…7c74backed Over | 37c | 139$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c9…9d7ebacked Over | 37c | 134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Under | 78c | 129.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 26c | 126.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked Under | 64c | 109.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 64c | 103$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 71c | 85.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…040dbacked Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…b8c3backed Over | 39c | 79.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Over | 35c | 71.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 36c | 68.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 21c | 67.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…407dbacked Under | 64c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Over | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…b21bbacked Over | 33c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 66c | 41.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…6498backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 64c | 37.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…e26dbacked Under | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Over | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 65c | 36.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 35c | 35.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…2ff1backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Under | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 500 | 67%335 W · 165 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 1,740 | 47%817 W · 923 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7235backed Under | 55c | 18.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Under | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Under | 68c | 15.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…67f7backed Under | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 200 | 81%162 W · 38 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group AFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.