TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, TYLOO
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.9837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked TYLOO43c6,512$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80047347.1%223 W · 250 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked TYLOO45c4,165$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.3598352.4%515 W · 468 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TYLOO26c3,779$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.73,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed TYLOO1c3,763$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.311,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked FURIA58c3,007$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.8135850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed TYLOO46c2,026$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.6113545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed TYLOO40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked FURIA77c1,742$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.0238358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed TYLOO43c1,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.368846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed FURIA56c1,495$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.8231444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed FURIA55c1,451$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.9124944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked FURIA77c1,445$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.981544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TYLOO45c1,057$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.025,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed FURIA54c1,019$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.535455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked TYLOO46c977.83$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.823952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked FURIA53c930.89$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.524146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked FURIA55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.097350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA54c897.53$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.261,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6867…f8d2backed FURIA56c890.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.116443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked TYLOO45c887.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.5914853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed TYLOO48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33626154.4%142 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed FURIA64c689.19$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.3612446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed TYLOO46c676.6$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.7464652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed TYLOO42c633.49$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.0767041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked TYLOO45c585.37$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.02520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed FURIA53c572.83$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.438436.9%31 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed FURIA55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4520744.4%92 W · 115 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1217…96c6backed FURIA54c507.41$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.411145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed FURIA64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18015857.6%91 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked TYLOO46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9918043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed TYLOO46c476.2$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0557358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked TYLOO44c473.77$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.461553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked FURIA53c471.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8231933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed TYLOO43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FURIA54c462.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9655736.3%202 W · 355 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed TYLOO43c450$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.512533.6%42 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…a764backed TYLOO48c429$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed FURIA55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6423861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked TYLOO43c360$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.835043.1%151 W · 199 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb79…f6c9backed FURIA54c357.52$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.461947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TYLOO48c354.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.395,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed TYLOO44c349.95$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9817849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3fc…0fecbacked TYLOO47c310$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed TYLOO47c289.81$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2110551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed FURIA57c283.32$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.037145.1%32 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed FURIA55c277.93$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0725446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed FURIA54c272.22$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2219351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed FURIA57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.519362.2%120 W · 73 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e8d…2ce5backed TYLOO47c244$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked FURIA54c238$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4526046.2%120 W · 140 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked TYLOO47c230$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.140655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed TYLOO46c230$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.520942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed TYLOO44c222.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.998143.2%35 W · 46 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked FURIA54c218.52$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.521968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed TYLOO26c200.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.242,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed TYLOO43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8697230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed FURIA53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948959.6%53 W · 36 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed FURIA54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9242845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed FURIA58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ccd…ec51backed FURIA53c199$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed TYLOO45c195.71$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.076248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked FURIA46c194.01$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7736245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9a…ac64backed FURIA53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked FURIA72c188.89$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8910156.4%57 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x055a…b50ebacked FURIA53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed FURIA55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8227744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA52c179.83$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3281751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed FURIA56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5711048.2%53 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed FURIA56c173.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6545639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f42…416fbacked FURIA53c173$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed TYLOO36c171.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.061020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed TYLOO43c167.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.984057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e6f…d42cbacked FURIA53c165$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed TYLOO47c164.04$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.122952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked FURIA52c161.69$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.611,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed TYLOO45c159.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9950340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed FURIA52c151.69$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3518041.7%75 W · 105 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…f4c8backed TYLOO48c151$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.48366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed TYLOO44c149.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7485358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed FURIA54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.152965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdb…d61abacked FURIA53c144$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd8…4881backed TYLOO14c143.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked FURIA65c135.46$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.467755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df4…53f1backed TYLOO46c135$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed FURIA69c128.02$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.276657.6%38 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked FURIA54c118.87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6816248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed FURIA78c117.51$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.024542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked FURIA75c114.09$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.526643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c4…a54abacked FURIA52c112$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed TYLOO47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed TYLOO47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…a75fbacked TYLOO48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked TYLOO43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked FURIA47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed FURIA54c98.52$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3229153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed TYLOO53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed TYLOO35c93.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.669863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed TYLOO48c92.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4428740.8%117 W · 170 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed FURIA55c90.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.