TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Under53c15,179$8,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,007.768743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over48c14,339$6,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,465.833036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c10,129$5,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,975.335,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c4,333$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.38,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over49c2,079$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.085042%21 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over47c1,762$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.392,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under49c1,746$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.6719952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over49c1,614$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.9275240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c1,523$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.821,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c1,348$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.0366837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c1,277$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.491,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under48c1,272$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.67244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c1,236$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.941,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under48c1,208$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.624252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over55c1,038$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.6420036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.992920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb341…88e7backed Over51c950$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+65.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under47c851.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under54c781.3$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.631136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under45c666.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c635.72$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.071,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed Under53c608.49$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c510.7$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.82,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over79c367.86$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2512156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under53c343.76$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6518050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under46c288.41$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6517852.8%94 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over51c260.67$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.737748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over70c259.46$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c232.98$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.822,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c226.4$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.863,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over54c224.21$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7314943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over68c187.32$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1648547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over72c175$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under52c130$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.742462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under14c125.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9611640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over51c118.37$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under55c114.17$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5c…4df2backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Under52c96.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under49c88.04$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1427349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under49c85.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.723253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under53c80.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6160156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.450656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under52c78.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8695155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2514359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c70.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.341,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under54c69.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3932139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c67.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.271,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over56c67.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.785147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under52c64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5441262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba9…2210backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under53c63.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.831,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under61c57.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0714264.1%91 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under49c56.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.861656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Over51c56.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.865123.5%12 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over51c54.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.59852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Over52c48.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e8…6d91backed Under42c47.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over50c45.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2285220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over80c45.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.14281%34 W · 8 L+12.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+66.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0378756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under55c41.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8863061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over37c37.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.841850%9 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over38c37.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.332885.7%24 W · 4 L+10.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+139.3%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c35.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.558551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Over46c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.281942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over51c30.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8610352.4%54 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159446.8%44 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under58c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8272058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73fb…c7afbacked Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under52c28.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.993363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x830e…3602backed Under54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c25.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0928940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under52c21.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1914149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Over51c20.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.213548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd948…f231backed Under55c20.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e9c…5ea3backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.